- Odds: Khabib Nurmagomedov: -225, Tony Ferguson: +162.
- Date & Location: Sat., Apr. 18,. Barclays Center, New York.
- Best Method of Victory Bet: Khabib via decision: +200.
- Best Round Betting Prop Bet: Tony Ferguson round 3: +1600.
One of the biggest lightweight bouts in recent UFC history is upon us. Just about everyone is praying to the MMA gods that Khabib & Ferguson turn up healthy to Octagon, given the history of this bout being made.
We preview the opening odds for UFC 249 with round betting and method of victory for Khabib vs Ferguson below.
Round Betting Odds for Khabib vs Ferguson
|Khabib Nurmagomedov round 1||+700|
|Khabib Nurmagomedov round 2||+800|
|Khabib Nurmagomedov round 3||+900|
|Khabib Nurmagomedov round 4||+1200|
|Khabib Nurmagomedov round 5||+1400|
|Khabib Nurmagomedov to win on points||+200|
|Tony Ferguson to win on points||+450|
|Tony Ferguson round 1||+1200|
|Tony Ferguson round 2||+1400|
|Tony Ferguson round 3||+1600|
|Tony Ferguson round 4||+1800|
|Tony Ferguson round 5||+2000|
Tony Ferguson is a Finisher
In his past six UFC bouts Tony Ferguson has accumulated five finishes. All of which happen in the 2nd or 3rd round. Given this is a five-round fight and Khabib’s durability it might be smart to sprinkle some money on the 3rd round onwards.
A $100 bet on Ferguson to win in the 3rd round would profit $1600. That profit increases by $200 for the 4th and jumps up in the 5th round with a profit of $2000.
“We’ve been preparing for Khabib for a long time,” Bravo said on the Joe Rogan podcast.
“We’re always preparing for the worst-case scenario, and Khabib is the worst-case scenario.
“He’s probably the best ground-and-pounder wrestler ever. This is the toughest challenge ever in MMA for 10th Planet (Bravo’s jiu-jitsu school).”
Method of Victory Odds for Khabib vs Ferguson
|Method of Victory||Odds|
|Khabib Nurmagomedov by KO, TKO or DQ||+600|
|Khabib Nurmagomedov by Decision or Technical Decision||+200|
|Khabib Nurmagomedov by Submission||+240|
|Tony Ferguson by KO, TKO or DQ||+800|
|Tony Ferguson by Decision or Technical Decision||+450|
|Tony Ferguson by Submission||+500|
|Tony Ferguson by KO, TKO or DQ||+5000|
The implied probability of Khabib winning by decision is 33.3%. Bet $100 to win $200, seems like a safe and viable bet.
Khabib won his last two bouts by submission, the former decision king has now being able to crush his opponents before the final bell. Tony Ferguson has only lost once in his MMA career by submission and has never been finished on the feet.