- Israel Adesanya will defend his middleweight title against Paulo Costa at UFC 253 on September 19, 2020.
- Adesanya remains the favorite at (-170) with the betting line coming a little closer for underdog (+145) challenger Paulo Costa.
- Fans and media are split on how this fight ends, will Adesanya keep his title or will Costa end it with a KO?
One of the most anticipated and exciting middleweight title bouts in recent history has been confirmed. The Eraser ‘Paulo Costa’ will finally get his crack at Israel Adesanya’s middleweight title. We review the latest odds for UFC 253 and see where the betting value lyes.
Israel Adesanya vs. Paulo Costa Odds
At these latest odds you can bet $170 on Adesanya to win $100, with an implied probabllity of 62.9% of defeating Paulo Costa. For the challenger Costa, he has better value where you can bet $100 to win $145.
Now that this fight has been confirmed expect the UFC 253 odds to start to drift as bettors start wagering on their pick. We’ve already seen it shift slightly in the favor of Costa, but don’t expect to Adesanya to become the underdog in this bout.
Betting Value on Adesanya vs Costa
The argument for Costa is that he is undefeated in MMA at 13-0 and is arguable the strongest puncher at Middleweight. He went toe-to-toe with Yoel Romero, which many fighters can’t claim.
In terms of strikes landed per minute, Paulo Costa holds the most in the active middleweight division at 8.43. After Adesanya’s last bout with Yoel Romero that would of brought is slpm down to 3.96.
If there is one fighter in the middleweight division that would knock Adesanya’s lights out that’s Paulo Costa. Expect a counter-striking masterclass from Adesanya in this high level title defence, that will be a real treat for the fans.
For Adesanya it will be another chance to prove the doubters wrong. After an impressive rise in the UFC, with spanned 7 fights in 2 years – Stylebender finaly won the title in impressive fashion against Rob Whittaker. His first title defence however was lacklustre but he done enough to get the win over a dangerous Yoel Romero.
When it comes to betting props for UFC 253, look for the odds on Adesanya in the later rounds or by decision. Stay tune to Betting Insider Journal for all the latest sports betting news, odds and predictions!