- The latest boxing odds have Canelo Alvarez as a -600 favorite against Jamie Munguia +425.
- Can Jamie Manguia put the pressure on Canelo and become the new undisputed champ on Cinco de Mayo 2024?
- See the best bets for Canelo vs Munguia including prop bets for this upcoming super middleweight title fight.
Canelo Alvarez’s next opponent for the 2024 Cinco de Mayo showdown Jaime Munguia at T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas.
Canelo is preliminary scheduled to defend his undisputed super middleweight championship on Showtime PPV in May 2024. the initial plan involves Canelo squaring off against Munguia in May, paving the way for the highly anticipated bout against David Benavidez in September, a matchup eagerly awaited by boxing fans. We review the opening boxing odds for Canelo vs Munguia below.
Canelo vs Munguia Odds
| Boxer | Odds |
| Canelo Alvarez | -600 |
| Jaime Munguia | +425 |
The opening betting odds are pitting Alvarez as a -600 favorite over Jaime Munguia +425. This would give Munguia a 19% chance of defeating Canelo at Cinco de May next May.
My early betting pick is Canelo to score a TKO victory in-between rounds 6-8, be sure to check out the round betting odds once they’re live! See these boxing betting apps for the best sportsbook apps to bet on all the latest fights.
Best Canelo vs Munguia Prop Bets
Based on my betting prop analysis, it seems like the odds are in favor of Alvarez winning the fight against Jaime Munguia. There is a high probability of Alvarez securing a TKO/KO or a decision win, with implied win probabilities ranging from around 60% to 70%. The odds for Alvarez winning by TKO/KO or DQ also indicate a solid chance of him securing a stoppage victory.
Furthermore, the fight is likely to last beyond the 8.5 rounds mark, with odds ranging from -375 to -380, implying a high probability of around 78% to 79%.
Another probable outcome is Alvarez winning between rounds 7 to 12, with odds ranging from +850 to +1300, signifying a probability of roughly 55% to 60% for this result. All in all, it’s anticipated to be a competitive and prolonged fight with Alvarez having a significant edge over Munguia.
Canelo Alvarez vs Jaime Munguia Prediction
Canelo hasn’t had a tough fight since facing Dimtry Bivol, although he did look to be back to his more precise self in his last outing against Jermell Charlo. While Canelo didn’t get the stoppage victory many hoped for, he showed the fluid movement and precision of more motivated Canelo than his more recent fights.
Munguia struggled in his recent fight against Sergiy Derevyanchenko earlier this year, winning by a close unanimous decision despite facing a tough challenge from the past-his-prime former world title challenger.
After securing a 9th round TKO win against John Ryder in January, Munguia is riding a wave of added confidence as he prepares to challenge the reigning king, Canelo, for the title of the top active boxer in Mexico.
I don’t think Munguia will have much to offer Canelo that Charlo or Ryder had. That being said Canelo should not take it easy and should aim to make a statement by getting the fellow Mexican fight out of the fight and set up a highly anticipated bout against “The Monster” Benavidez.
Canelo Álvarez excels in the ring with outstanding defensive skills, precise counter-punching, and adaptability. His exceptional head movement, solid defense, and use of powerful counterpunches to keep Munguia at bay. After a couple of rounds expect Canelo to control the fight’s tempo, displaying patience and precision in his strikes.
Jaime Munguia is recognized for his relentless pressure, high-volume punching, and impressive power. He overwhelms opponents with a rapid work rate and forceful combinations, constantly moving forward to tire them out. His significant power in both hands aims to overpower adversaries, as seen in recent fights against Ryder and Golovkin.
This fight between Canelo and Munguia is expected to highlight Canelo’s refined technical abilities, defensive expertise, and proficiency in counter-punching against Munguia’s aggressive, high-pace punching, and potent style.
This presents another opportunity for Canelo to display his adaptability against Munguia’s constant pressure and formidable power. It aligns perfectly with Canelo’s strategy of aiming for a powerful knockout in the middle to later rounds.
Betting Pick: Canelo by TKO & Rounds 6-8
