- Boxing betting odds are live for Jermall Charlo -850 taking on Jose Benavidez +510.
- Will ring rust of two and half years be a factor for Charlo against Benevidez?
- See the latest prop bets and fight predictions for Charlo vs Benavidez.
Jermall Charlo has confirmed his next bout against Jose Benavidez Jr. on November 25th, sharing the undercard with David Benavidez vs. Demetrius Andrade fight.
The reaction to Jermall vs. Benavidez Jr. has been mixed due to the evident mismatch in size and skill. Jermall clearly outshines Jose Jr. in terms of size, strength, speed, and talent. Can Charlo finish Benavidez in style? Let’s see what the latest odds say for this upcoming fight.
Charlo vs Benavidez Odds
|Jose Benavidez Jr||+510|
Jermall Charlo opens as a -850 betting favorite, giving him an 89.4% implied win probability over the former WBA interim light welterweight champion Jose Benavidez Jr. For Benavidez Jr, odds of +510 mean a $100 bet could net $510 profit on the chance of an upset here.
Once the props are live for Charlo vs Benevidez Jr we will review them here!
Charlo vs Benavidez Betting Props
Below are the latest prop bets for Jermall Charlo and Jose Benavidez Jr. These bets offer intriguing insights into the perceived likelihood of various outcomes. Let’s break down some key points:
Over/Under Rounds: The over/under for 8½ rounds is set at -240 for over and +180 for under. This suggests a slightly higher probability that the fight will last longer than 8½ rounds.
Decision vs. KO/TKO/DQ: The odds for the fight going to a decision are -190, while the odds for not going to a decision are +146. This implies a slightly higher chance of the fight being decided by the judges rather than by a knockout, technical knockout, or disqualification.
Method of Victory: Charlo is favored to win by TKO/KO or DQ at +194, indicating a reasonable chance of a finish. For Benavidez Jr, the odds for a TKO/KO or DQ victory are much higher at +1100 to +1400, reflecting the lower probability of this outcome.
Round-Specific Outcomes: The odds for either fighter winning in the early rounds (1 to 4) are quite high, especially for Benavidez Jr, indicating that a victory in these rounds is considered quite unlikely. As the rounds progress, the odds slightly decrease, but they still remain high, suggesting low expectations for a finish in any specific round.
Most Likely Outcomes: Based on these odds, the most likely outcomes appear to be Charlo winning, possibly by decision or late-round stoppage. The fight lasting more than 8½ rounds also seems probable.
Least Likely Outcomes: A Benavidez Jr victory, particularly by early knockout, is deemed highly unlikely, as reflected by the high odds for these scenarios.
Grouped Round Bets: The grouped round bets (e.g., Charlo wins in rounds 1-2, 3-4, etc.) offer lower odds compared to specific round bets, indicating a slightly higher probability but still remaining as less likely outcomes.
Jermall Charlo vs Jose Benavidez Jr Odds & Prediction
It’s somewhat perplexing that Charlo, who is expected to move up to the 168-lb weight class, is facing Benavidez Jr., who seems undersized for the 154-lb division and lacks a notable track record at this weight. Jose Jr. primarily fought as a welterweight until 2021, distinguishing him from his more prominent brother, David.
During Charlo’s hiatus from the sport, there was persistent speculation about his imminent return. Fans and pundits eagerly anticipated potential matchups against boxing luminaries such as David Benavidez, Canelo Alvarez, Caleb Plant, and Demetrius Andrade.
In a surprising twist, in November 2022, Charlo threw down the gauntlet by publicly challenging light heavyweight champion Dmitry Bivol. While none of these tantalizing bouts have materialized as of yet, the prevailing sentiment suggests that Charlo is gearing up for a return to the ring, with a keen interest in taking on elite fighters spanning the weight classes from 160 to 175 lbs.
Often overlooked, Jose Benavidez Jr. boasts an impressive amateur career, securing eleven national championships and earning the distinction of becoming the youngest Golden Gloves champion in history. In the professional arena, Benavidez’s only blemishes on his record came in encounters with formidable opponents, Terence Crawford and Danny Garcia.
While many perceive the bout with Benavidez as a preparatory match to ready Charlo for more significant challenges in the middleweight and super middleweight divisions, the question of Charlo’s performance upon his return lingers. When he steps into the ring against Benavidez on November 25th, it will mark precisely two years, five months, and six days since Charlo last showcased his professional boxing skills.
In a recent development, Charlo has made a significant move to Pensacola, Florida, where he is under the expert tutelage of the boxing legend, Roy Jones Jr. Videos capturing their intense training sessions have started surfacing online.
Although the specifics of the personal challenges that led to Charlo’s two-year hiatus from the sport remain shrouded in mystery, Charlo himself has sent a clear signal of his intent to reenter the boxing arena and continue his promising career.
Since 2018 we’ve seen a decline in Benavidez Jr’s performances as he stepped up to take on world beaters such as Terrance Crawford and Danny Garcia, both fights he lost. Meanwhile, Charlo’s undefeated streak of 32-0 is expected to be maintained according to the online sportsbooks.
Even after the two-and-a-half-year layoff, this could be the turning point for the less active Charlo brother to get back into fighting bigger names again. Expect to see Charlo score a UD win over Benavidez which could set up a fight against Caleb Plant or Andrade in 2024.
50/50 Fight According to Benavidez Sr.
Jose Benavidez Sr. has weighed in on the upcoming showdown between his son, Jose Jr., and Jermall Charlo, slated for November 25th, describing it as a “50-50” bout.
The stakes are high, with Benavidez Sr. suggesting that if his son secures victory over Jermall, he could potentially become the next challenger for Canelo Alvarez in May. However, it’s widely believed that Jermall will be Canelo’s next opponent if he can emerge victorious in his comeback fight against Jose Jr.
Benavidez Sr. points to Jermall’s recent struggles, including mental issues, personal challenges like divorce, a period of inactivity spanning three years, and even struggles with alcohol. He believes that these factors could make Jermall vulnerable against the smaller but determined Benavidez (28-2-1, 19 KOs) on November 25th.
The implications are substantial, as a loss to Benavidez Jr. could be a significant setback for Jermall (32-0, 22 KOs), who stands on the brink of a lucrative showdown with Canelo if he emerges victorious next month.
It’s worth noting that the Charlo-Benavidez Jr. clash, if it materializes, will be a prominent fixture on the undercard of the David Benavidez vs. Demetrius Andrade fight, set to be aired on Showtime PPV.