Boxing Odds & Prediction for Shakur Stevenson vs Robson Conceicao

Shakur Stevenson vs Robson Conceicao
  • Shakur Stevenson remains a massive -2500 betting favorite over Robson Conceicao +900 for their Sept 23 bout.
  • WBO and WBC super featherweight champion Shakur Stevenson makes his return to the squared circle in a hometown return as he faces Robson Conceicao at the Prudential Center in Newark, New Jersey.
  • One betting prop to watch out for is Stevenson +162 by finish.

The September 23 bout between Stevenson and Conceicao will also give Stevenson another chance to build his name as a top American fighter. ESPN will be airing the title fight as fight fans will be able to watch this one on TV with Stevenson playing the headliner.

We review the latest boxing odds for Stevenson vs Conceicao with a fight prediction to follow.

Stevenson vs Conceicao Odds

Shakur Stevenson-2500
Robson Conceicao+900

Stevenson is the massive favorite, with a 96% win probability according to boxing betting sites we reviewed. There is a good reason as he is the clear top dog at super featherweight at the moment. Stevenson is fresh off a dominant win over Valdez in his last fight and has yet to be truly tested by an opponent to date in his professional career.

Stevenson easily handled Valdez in his unanimous decision win, knocking Valdez down in Round 6 and winning 117-110, 118-109, 118-110 on the scorecards. Conceicao on the other hand is coming in as a big +900 underdog, bet $100 to net $900 on this massive upset.

Betting Value on Stevenson by Finish +162

Conceicao – the first Brazilian boxer to win an Olympic gold medal – is fighting for a major super featherweight championship for the second time after losing to Oscar Valdez, who Stevenson beat in his last fight to secure the WBC crown.

Conceicao is unlikely to be the fighter to end Stevenson’s career as the Brazilian is a quality fighter at super featherweight but a class below the level of his opponent. The disparity in talent of the two fighters is evidenced in their results against the same opponent in Valdez, as Conceicao struggled in the latter rounds in a unanimous decision loss almost exactly a year ago.

Given the short -2500 odds to back Stevenson for a simple victory, the prop market is the place to go for this fight. Specifically the odds for Stevenson to end the fight with a finish, something he has accomplished in half of his fights in his 18 fight pro career.


Stevenson has nine TKO/KO victories in his career, most recently scoring a finish against Jemel Herring in October of last year to win the WBO super featherweight title. Knocking down Valdez in his last fight, Stevenson’s power is there and at +162 odds at Sports Interaction it is worth a shot to back the heavy favorite to find the knockout.

Also in Stevenson’s favor is Concecaio’s potential late round issues dating back to his last fight as Valdez overtook him in the latter rounds. If the Brazilian fades like he did against Valdez as the rounds pass by, Stevenson should be able to punish his opponent and further cement his reputation as a star in the making with the knockout.


Shakur Has Big Plans Next

Stevenson is already sizing up the 135-pound division, with former champions there Ryan Garcia and Teofimo Lopez moving on from that weight-class. The undefeated American could quickly become one of the top-dogs at 135, if he decides to make the move after fighting Concecaio.

Speaking to, Stevenson discussed his future plans. “We gotta see,” he said.

“It’s all up in the air right now. It’s all depending on how I’m feeling. Going up to 135 is not out the way and staying at 130 is not out the way. It’s all depending on what I feel and how I feel after this fight. So, we’re gonna see. 

“Maybe I’ll go up to 135 for one fight, and then come back down to 130. You never know. I can play with it like that. I feel like I’m that good.”

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