- UFC 278 odds – Jose Aldo +115 underdog vs Merab Dvalishvili -140
- Dvalishvili is on a seven-fight win streak with his last win over Marlon Moraes in September 2021.
- Can Jose Aldo turn back the clock once more at bantamweight? Our prediction is below!
Jose Aldo returns this weekend at UFC 278 to take on Merab “The Machine” Dvalishvili. The former UFC featherweight champion is 3-2 since moving down to bantamweight with those 3 wins being his most recent fights, with wins over Rob Font, Munhoz, and Vera.
Below are some top-rated UFC 278 betting promos. We review Aldo’s odds against Dvalishvili, in what’s expected to be a highly competitive bantamweight bout, with the winner looking to get the next title shot.
Aldo vs Dvalishvili Odds
The latest UFC 278 odds are slightly favoring Merab Dvalishvili as a narrow favorite. Currently “The Machine” is a -140, giving the Georgian-based fighter an implied win probability of 58.3%. At 35 years of age, Aldo has edged closer to one more title shot. The King of Rio, has odds of +115, bet $100 to win $115.
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Betting on Aldo vs Dvalishvili
When the opening odds were released for Aldo vs Dvalishvili. The Georgian was a solid -145 favorite, this past week oddsmakers have flipped those chances with some sports betting apps giving Aldo the edge now over Dvalishvili.
Dvalishvili is a strong contender for the 135-pound strap, his 7 straight wins are second best to champs Aljamain Sterling’s win streak. In Dvalishvili’s last outing he was close to being defeated by Marlon Moraes but managed to turn things around to win by 2nd round KO.
Jose Aldo is doing the unthinkable at 135-pounds and making one more championship run. In his last outing at UFC Vegas 44, Aldo outclassed Rob Font and prior to that he has wins Pedro Munhoz and Marlon Vera. “Chitto” is coming off a 4th round highlight reel KO over Dominick Cruz.
Aldo will have a 2-inch reach advantage over Merab and the Brazilian also has a 5% striking accuracy. When it comes to striking volume Merab has 4.26 significant strikes per minute compared to Aldo’s 3.61. Merab could try and wear down on Aldo with some grappling, “The Machine” lands over 7 takedowns on average per 15-minutes. Aldo will need to utilize his 90% takedown defense to its fullest here against the well-rounded skill set of Merab.
It’s hard to pick against Aldo given the run he’s on. I expect his experience and hand speed to be enough to give “Junior” the edge on the feet. Merab could certainly make this a dirty fight for the aging Aldo, and it’s clear why sportsbooks are now pitting this as a 50/50 fight.
Betting Pick: Jose Aldo by Decision.
Dvalishvili Considers Flyweight as a Future Option
“I want to win,” Dvalishvili told Helen Yee in an interview. “I’m not going to let Jose Aldo beat me, and if Jose Aldo beats me, he’s next for the title shot. But I’m going to win. I don’t care (about) the title fight now. After this win, maybe I will try to cut and go 125, or I fight Sean O’Malley or somebody with a big name.
“I’m walking around like 155 and I cut like 20 pounds. I never have had a nutritionist. I never asked somebody. Otherwise, I cut my old style when I was cutting 10 years ago – the same style. Then I see people cutting 30 pounds. I cut 20. Everybody (else) cuts 30 pounds. Not everybody, but most people. So if they do it, I can do it, too. But we’ll see. I’m just focused on this fight and I know that I can make 125. If I kill myself, I’ll make 125.
“I just want to win against Jose Aldo,” Dvalishvili said. “Even this win will be big for me and we’ll see what’s going to happen after. We all know, me and Aljo – we’re never fighting each other. I just want this win. We see after, but this is a good problem to have. We are best friends. So he’s the champion and I’m OK. Aljo makes me tell (everyone) he beats me every day in the gym.”
Stay tuned to BettingInsiderJournal.com for all the latest UFC odds and picks for this coming UFC 278 PPV.