- Defending champion Jan Blachowicz is a +205 underdog, to the challenger and betting favorite Israel Adesanya -245
- Can Israel Adesanya become a double champion at UFC 259?
- Are the oddsmakers overlooking Jan Blachowicz in his first title defense at light heavyweight?
UFC 259 is shaping up to be the best UFC card of the year, with three title fights, on the line. To maximize potential winnings at UFC 259, we have give our best bets and prediction for Izzy vs Jan below.
Blachowicz vs Adesanya Prediction
The Polish Powerhouse that is Jan Blachowicz will defend his lightweight title for the first time against the newcomer to the weight-class, Israel Adesanya.
Adesanya will enter this fight as the much quicker opponent but lighter in every aspect. It remains to be seen how Adesanya’s speed and surprising power will translate at light heavyweight. I anticipate it actually benefiting the natural middleweight, who’s has a lean frame when it fights at 185 pounds.
In terms of UFC stats between Adesanya and Blachowicz. The defending champ Blachowicz is behind Adesanya in just about every area of the striking department. However, it’s not as one-sided as the stats suggest, there is only a 2% difference in striking accuracy and Adesanya lands 4.10 to Jan at 3.49 in significant strikes per minute.
Adesanya also has a more impressive defense, 65% compared to Jan’s 54%. One area I can see Adesanya targeting is the space Jan leaves open straight down the middle when he jabs. We’ve seen Adesanya sting his opponents with these precise strikes, that can really add over over the rounds.
Blachowicz has underrated grappling that I can see being utilized in this fight if he can get Adesanya against the cage. Where he could try and drain some energy out of Stylebenders arms and limbs. Blachowicz will be the bigger man in there and the more experienced some might say. His fight IQ is well above Adesanya’s last few opponents and he’s not the emotional type of fighter who will crumble come fight night.
Overall I like Adesanya’s chances of obtaining a second belt in a different weight class. These moments are historic in MMA and we could be in for another classic fight at UFC 259.
Many oddsmakers and fans overlooked Blachowicz’s chances of defeating Dominick Reyes and becoming the lightweight champion. He has dominated this weight class and has proven time and time again that he is world-class. That being said Adesanya is the most active fighter in the P4P rankings and with a win over Jan Blachowicz, this should cement his spot in the #1 spot for a long time to come.
Pick: Adesanya by TKO/KO
Adesanya vs Blachowicz Best Bets
There are multiple ways to bet on UFC 259. From round betting to over/under and method of victory. Below are my three favorite bets for Adesanya vs Blachowicz. Be sure to check out our online sportsbooks here, prior to betting on the fights for the best UFC bonuses.
Adesanya via TKO/KO: +120
Israel Adesanya has won 75% of his fights by KO. You can bet $100 on Adesanya to win by TKO/KO over Blachowicz to win $120.
Adesanya via Decsion: +250
The remain 25% of those wins went to the judge’s scorecards. Quite juicy odds of +250 for Stylebender to go the distance against Jan and win. Meaning if you bet $100 you could win $250.
Blachowicz via TKO/KO: +375
Jan Blachowicz is a solid finisher. 3 of his last 4 wins coming by way of KO. If you fancy Jan’s chances of finishing Adesanya, you can bet $100 to win $375.
UFC 259 is Stacked
The first title fight will be the men’s bantamweight with Yan vs Aljo odds & predictions are live to bet on. That will be followed by the co-main with Amanda Nunes defending her title against Megan Anderson, we’ve got the latest odds that fight covered.