Justin Gaethje vs Rafael Fiziev Odds & Prediction for UFC 286

Justin Gaethje vs. Rafael Fiziev
  • UFC 286 betting odds are favoring Rafael Fiziev -265 over Justin Gaethje +200.
  • UFC 286 is headlined by Edwards vs Usman 3 live from The O2 in London, England.
  • We give a betting prediction for Gaethje vs Fiziev with the best bets for UFC 286.

UFC 286 gets underway this weekend at the 02 in London. The co-main will feature a light clash lightweight clash between Justin Gaethje and Rafael Fiziev. There are many ways to bet on Gaethje vs Fiziev, with the fight expected to not go the distance. We review the latest Gaethje vs Fiziev odds with a betting pick to follow.

Gaethje vs Fiziev Odds

Justin Gaethje+200
Rafael Fiziev-265

As per FanDuel Sportsbook, Justin Gaethje is +200 against Rafael Fiziev -265. Betting on “The Highlight” would net $200 off a $100 wager. The public has wagered more on Rafael Fiziev, going from a -180 favorite to currently -265.

For those looking to place bets, check out these UFC betting apps. UFC 286 could offer a great opportunity to wager by using a SuperBook promo code, to unlock a $250 deposit match. Check out this Bet99 promo code for an exclusive $600 sign-up bonus this weekend. See current Edwards vs Usman 3 odds for the welterweight title at UFC 286.

UFC 286 Best Bets

  • Justin Gaethje by Decision: +700
  • Justin Gaethje by TKO/KO: +350
  • Rafael Fiziev by Decision: +220
  • Rafael Fiziev by TKO/KO: +145
  • Fight doesn’t go to a decision: -195
  • Fight ends in round 1 or 2: -130

Justin Gaethje vs Rafael Fiziev Odds & Prediction

Predicting how a Justin Gaethje fight is going to play out is always a roll of the dice. He’s as hard as nails but sometimes too tough for his own good. At 34 years of age, “The Highlight” needs a win here to secure another potential title shot before. Gaethke is coming off a loss to former 155-pound champion Charles Oliveira, losing by first-round submission. Prior to that, Gaethje put on a thrilling performance against Michael Chandler at UFC 268.

Gaethje is a fighter known for his ability to both deal with and absorb significant punishment. Fans can expect an intense and captivating fight when he faces Rafael Fiziev on Saturday. This bout has the potential to be one of the most memorable of the year, with both fighters likely to give it their all in the octagon.

My prediction is that Gaethje will employ a similar strategy to the one he used in his fight against Michael Chandler at UFC 268. He will likely rely on his devastating leg kicks early on, catching Fiziev off guard and compromising his stability.

Once Fiziev’s base is weakened, Gaethje can capitalize by throwing heavy strikes. While Gaethje has taken a lot of punishment throughout his career, I believe he has the chin and cardio to handle Fiziev’s offense and come out on top in this fight.

Rafael Fiziev, who is 30 years old, is a highly skilled and energetic fighter in the octagon. He possesses technical abilities, strength, and solid wrestling skills, in addition to a repertoire of unorthodox flying strikes similar to Gaethje.

When Fiziev begins to smell blood and fully engages with his opponents, they often don’t stand a chance. In this fight against Gaethje, Fiziev’s advantage will likely lie in being the one to initiate the engagement.

In terms of UFC fight stats; When it comes to significant strikes, Justin Gaethje has a higher rate with 7.46 landed per minute compared to Rafael Fiziev’s 4.81. Gaethje has a more accurate strike percentage of 60%, while Fiziev’s is 50%.

In terms of defense, Gaethje absorbs 7.85 significant strikes per minute, while Fiziev takes 4.86. Gaethje also has a better defense rate, blocking 55% of strikes thrown at him, while Fiziev blocks 50% of strikes directed at him.

When it comes to takedowns, Justin Gaethje is averaging more than his opponent, taking them down 0.40 times per 15 minutes. He has a takedown success rate of 15% and is able to stuff 75% of the takedowns his opponents attempt.

Due to the nature of how both fighters’ styles, I can see this fight ending in a KO on either side. Gaethje with his experience and as an underdog is my betting pick.

Betting Pick: Justin Gaethje

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