- UFC Paris odds are favoring Ciryl Gane -180 on home soil against Sergey Spivak +150.
- Can Ciryl Gane bounce back after his title loss to Jon Jones at UFC 285?
- See the best bets for UFC Paris when betting on Gane vs Spivak.
The UFC returns to Paris this Septermber 2nd, almost a year to date from the last Paris event. Headlined once again by Ciryl Gane, who put on a hella of show against Tai Tuivasa last September, now returns to take on Moldovan fighter Sergey Spivak.
This true European clash will headline the event with Rose Namajunas vs Manon Fiorot featuring as the co-main. Let’s see what the best odds and props are for Gane vs Spivak.
Gane vs Spivak Odds
Odds for UFC Paris are giving Ciryl Gane the edge as a -180 favorite. That’s an implied win probability of 64.2% for “Bon Gamin”, with a $180 wager netting $100 profit. Spivak has the chance here to get his fourth straight win over Gane, bet $100 on the “Polar Bear” to net $150.
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Stay tuned for the best betting props for UFC Paris, including Gane to win by KO or decison and Spivak by submission or KO.
Ciryl Gane vs Sergey Spivak Prediction
Let’s break down Gane vs Spivak’s strengths, weaknesses, and potential strategies to predict how this showdown might unfold. Despite Ciryl Gane’s two UFC lossess, the Frenchman remains one of the most proficient strikers.
Ciryl Gane, a towering figure at 6’4″, is a force to be reckoned with. His 11-2-0 record showcases his journey through the ranks. A striker extraordinaire, Gane boasts an impressive striking repertoire. Averaging 5.08 strikes landed per minute (SLpM) with a striking accuracy of 59%, Gane is a precision artist.
His offensive prowess is matched by his stellar defense, deflecting 62% of incoming strikes. Strengths: Gane’s height and reach advantage, standing at 81 inches, can be a game-changer. His striking accuracy and defense highlight his technical proficiency, making him a tough nut to crack on the feet.
While Gane’s striking is a sight to behold, his takedown defense stands at 45%, which could spell trouble against Spivac who submitted Derrick Lewis in his last fight.
Spivac carries immense power and what truly sets him apart is his grappling ability. Averaging a remarkable 5.05 takedowns per 15 minutes and boasting a takedown accuracy of 65%, Spivac’s strategy seems clear. Mix in takedowns with a the odd counterstriking to catch Gane off guard.
Spivac’s ability to control the fight on the ground could be his path to victory. His takedown defense, at 70%, showcases his defensive acumen. Weaknesses: While his grappling game is strong, Spivac’s striking output falls short of Gane’s. His striking accuracy of 51% is respectable, but against Gane’s striking clinic, he might find himself at a disadvantage on the feet.
My prediciton here is that Gane’s striking precision and defense can help him dictate the fight if he manages to keep it standing. He needs to fend off Spivac’s takedown attempts and capitalize on his reach advantage to keep Spivac at bay.
The odds are already in Gane’s favor and could see them sway towards -250 come fight night due to his technical striking. While Gane is the safe bet here, picking Spivak as the underdog to win inside the distance could be worth a wager.
Betting Pick: Gane