- Jessica Andrade opens as a -200 favorite at UFC 288 against Yan Xiaonan +165.
- UFC 288 will mark Andrade’s third fight in 2023 as she looks to get back in the win column after a submission loss to Erin Blanchfield.
- See who our betting pick is for Andrade vs Xiaonan.
On May 6th, UFC 288 will feature a highly anticipated match-up between former champion Jessica Andrade and Yan Xiaonan (16-3, 1 NC). The event is set to take place at the Prudential Center in Newark, New Jersey. The main event of UFC 288 will feature a bantamweight championship bout between current champion Aljamain Sterling vs Henry Cejudo.
Both Andrade and Xiaonan are formidable fighters, making this an exciting bout for UFC fans. Let’s review the latest Andrade vs Xiaonan with a betting prediction for this UFC 288 fight.
Andrade vs Xiaonan Odds
The latest UFC 288 odds for Andrade vs Xiaonan are currently favoring Andrade with -200 odds. This implies a 66.6% chance of Andrade winning. Xiaonan, on the other hand, is the underdog with odds of +165, which suggests a 37.7% chance of her winning.
While Andrade may be the favorite, Xiaonan is a solid underdog with a $100 wagering netting $165 profit on the chance of her hand getting raised. Be sure to visit these US online sportsbooks before betting on UFC 288, we have a Bet99 promo code that matches your deposit up to $600.
Andrade vs Xiaonan Prop Bets
- Andrade by decision: +200
- Andrade by submission: +500
- Xiaonan by decision: +225
Based on this, Andrade by decision has the highest implied probability at 33.33%, followed by Xiaonan by decision at 30.77%, and Andrade by submission at 16.67%. Bet $100 on Andrade to win by decision to net $200 and net $500 off a $100 wager if she wins by submission.
When considering past wins from each fighter, Andrade has a record of 21 wins and 9 losses, with 7 wins by KO/TKO, 7 wins by submission, and 7 wins by decision. Xiaonan has a record of 14 wins and 2 losses, with 4 wins by KO/TKO, 1 win by submission, and 9 wins by decision
Jessica Andrade vs Yan Xiaonan Prediction
Jessica Andrade has won three out of her last four fights. She defeated Cynthia Calvillo via TKO in the first round at UFC 266 in September 2021. In April 2022, she submitted Amanda Lemos with a standing arm-triangle choke at UFC Fight Night.
Andrade then won a unanimous decision against Lauren Murphy at UFC 283 in January 2023 but was defeated by Erin Blanchfield via submission in her most recent fight at UFC Fight Night in February 2023.
A setback against Blanchfield should only motivate Andrade to get back on the horse and prove she is still a contender at strawweight.
Yan Xiaonan’s most recent fight was a victory against Mackenzie Dern at UFC Fight Night on October 1, 2022. Yan won the fight by a majority decision after five rounds in Las Vegas, Nevada.
Before that, Yan suffered two consecutive losses. The first loss was to Marina Rodriguez, who defeated her via split decision at UFC 272 on March 5, 2022. The second loss was to Carla Esparza, who won the fight by TKO via punches at UFC Fight Night on May 22, 2021.
Looking at the UFC stats – in striking, Andrade lands 6.84 significant strikes per minute with an accuracy of 51%, while Xiaonan lands 5.45 significant strikes per minute with an accuracy of 44%.
Andrade absorbs 5.34 strikes per minute, while Xiaonan absorbs 3.53 strikes per minute. When it comes to defense, Xiaonan has the edge with a 61% defense rate, compared to Andrade’s 54%.
In terms of grappling, Andrade averages 2.64 takedowns per 15 minutes with a 54% accuracy rate, while Xiaonan averages 0.87 takedowns per 15 minutes with a 66% accuracy rate. Andrade also has better takedown defense with a 73% rate compared to Xiaonan’s 70%.
Lastly, Andrade has a submission average of 0.4 per 15 minutes, while Xiaonan has 0.0 submission average per 15 minutes. Overall, Andrade will have a lot more tools to cause Yan problems in this fight. Since entering the UFC in 2017, Yan has gone 9-2 but all her wins are by decision.
This could work in her favor if she keeps her distance against Andrade and avoids the takedowns. If anyone is going to stop Yan inside the distance it will be Jessica Andrade via submission or TKO – take your pick!
Betting Pick: Andrade inside the distance