- We review the latest Dern vs Yann odds & prediction for UFC Vegas 61.
- Yan Xionan lost to Rodriguez in her most recent fight, dropping a split decision at UFC 272. The loss was Yan’s second consecutive defeat inside the Octagon.
- This fight is a clash of two styles as Dern famously is a submission specialist and expert in BJJ with seven professional wins via submission and zero victories by TKO or knockout.
UFC Vegas 61 will be headlined by Dern vs Yan on Saturday, October 1 at the APEX in Las Vegas, Nevada, ringing in the new month with a killer clash of two talented women’s fighters. Let’s see what the latest UFC Vegas 61 odds are saying for this women’s straweight headliner.
Dern vs Yan Odds
Mackenzie Dern is the firm favorite in this main event matchup. A bet of $225 on Dern would return $100 on the heavy favorite in this battle of the UFC’s fifth and sixth-ranked fighters in the strawweight division.
Those who wish to back the underdog can get a nice value on Yan at the best price on the market of +175 at BetGM and Caesars. $100 on Yan returns $180, an enticing proposition for bettors who look for the plus money payday.
Prediction for Dern vs Xiaonan
Two top contenders in the UFC’s women’s 115-pound division face off in Las Vegas in their chase for a title shot as Mackenzie Dern and Yan Xionan headline October’s first UFC event.
This is a fight that Mackenzie Dern ultimately should win as she is facing a fighter in Yan with less skill that is coming off two losses which showed her lack of talent when faced against elite opponents.
Dern won two of those decisions, including a recent split decision win over Tecia Torres in her last fight. Bouncing back from an unanimous decision loss to Marina Rodriguez last October at UFC Fight Night 194. Three of Mackenzie Dern’s last four fights inside the Octagon have gone the distance.
Meanwhile, Yan has zero submission wins to her name as a pro fighter and seven TKO/KO victories. None of those knockout victories came in the UFC, however as the Chinese fighter has yet to register a finish since coming over from Road FC.
Yan’s lack of grappling credibility and lack of striking victories via knockout in the UFC are also a concern as she doesn’t appear to have the power to neutralize Dern’s well-noted grappling advantage. If Yan can’t cause damage in the standup, it is almost a guarantee Dern will take her to the ground and smother her with her superior grappling skill.
Dern at -210 at FanDuel Sportsbook or DraftKings is the play for this fight. Although, looking for Dern in the prop market at a better price closer to fight night is worth consideration for bettors who are confident in the favorite finding either a finish or holding on for a decision victory.