- UFC 284 odds have Islam Makhachev as a -400 favorite to Alexander Volkanovski at +300.
- Volkanovski is aiming to become the UFC’s latest double champ at UFC 284.
- My early betting prediction is Makhachev to win by decision against Volk.
Newly crowned lightweight champion Islam Makhachev and Alexander “The Great” Volkanovski will go head to head at fight UFC 284 in Perth, Australia, on February 11, 2023.
Alexander Volkanovski was waiting outside the cage as Islam Makhachev defeated Charles Oliveira by submission at UFC 280. At UFC 281, the fight was officially announced. We review the latest Makhachev vs Volkanovski odds ahead of an already stacked UFC 284 card.
Makhachev vs Volkanovski Odds
Given the sheer dominance of Makhachev’s fighting style, oddsmakers are favoring the 155-pound champ with an 80% implied win probability to be the first UFC fighter to defeat Volkanovski on enemy home turf in Australia. Early UFC bets on Volkanovski would net bettors $300 profit from a $100 wager from the latest UFC odds for Islam vs Volk.
One of the best longshot bets for UFC 284 is Volkanovski to win by TKO/KO, which is currently priced at +800. Bet $100 to net $800 on Volkanovski finishing Makhachev at UFC 284.
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Islam Makhachev vs Alexander Volkanovski Prediction
The UFC’s top fighter in terms of P4P, Volkanovski, has crushed the whole featherweight division and is eyeing fresh challenges at the moment. He is increasing his weight for the upcoming fight.
At a time when online sportsbooks gave the Volkanovski vs Makhachev odds, it surprised many to see that they did not appear to work out well for the featherweight champion.
Volkanovski is incredibly skilled but no doubt Makhachev will aim to stand and trade with him, just like he did against Charles Oliveira and had some success.
Volkanovski has a wicked body kick and crisp leg kicks, I can see a situation where Volkanovski hurts Makhachev and could even stop him with a body kick. Makhachev will be able to take much of Volkanovski’s punishment, he is in incredible shape and has taken little damage in MMA thus far.
Over the course of Volkanovski’s UFC run, there has never been a moment of him looking too vulnerable or rocked. Even through the Holloway trilogy, I think this will remain the case for this fight. Even through multiple takedowns and ground and pounds, Volk will find a way to persevere and keep going.
Volkanovski’s key to winning here would be to avoid the takedowns and use his diverse range of striking to pick apart Makhachev. The stakes will be incredibly tough, as I see Makhachev aiming to takedown Volk every single round – which will make him more cautious of double-legs, single-legs, you name it.
As always Makhachev will be looking for Volkanovski to throw kicks to he can sprawl and take the featherweight champion down. In the clinch, I would give the edge the Makhachev, who could look to bully Volk and throw knees to wear down the 145-pound champ.
Looking at the stats for UFC 284, Makhachev only absorbs 0.95 significant strikes per minute compared to Volkanovski’s 3.53. The grappling will certainly be in Makhachev’s favor 3.42 takedowns landed on average per 15 minutes. Volks’s takedown defense is 73% and he will need every instance of that to keep the Dagestan champion at bay.
Regarding betting on a winner at UFC 284, the odds are certainly in Makhachev’s favor to grind out a decision victory. This is really a win-win for Volk, who can return back to 145-pounds and face the winner of Yair Rodriguez vs Josh Emmett to unify the division once again.
Betting Pick: Makhachev by Decision.
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