• UFC 269 Odds: Brandon Moreno betting favorite -157, Deiveson Figueiredo +137 underdog.
  • Prediction: Moreno by finish.

Brandon Moreno will take on Deiveson Figueiredo for the third straight time at UFC 269. The UFC flyweight title will be on the line on December 11th, with Amanda Nunes returning to defend her title against Julianna Pena scheduled to headline the card. We review the latest UFC 269 odds for Moreno vs Figueiredo 3 below.

Moreno vs Figueiredo 3 Odds

FighterOdds
Brandon Moreno-157
Deiveson Figueiredo+137

Moreno is just coming off a finish win over Figueiredo at UFC 263 and opens as a -157 betting favorite. That’s an implied win probability for the champ of 61%. Realistically I would give Moreno a 70% chance over Figueiredo for this trilogy, which I’m sure the betting line will sway in that direction come December. For Figueiredo as the underdog you can bet $100 to win $137 at these current opening odds. For all the latest MMA betting odds check out our list of the best sports bettings sites.

UFC 269 Prediction for Moreno vs Figueiredo

As this trilogy approaches we look back at what brought us here. At UFC 256 Figueiredo defended his flyweight title against Moreno. The fight went five rounds and was a fight of year contender, with it ending in a majority draw. Fast forward to June 2021 and the rematch had high expectations. Many were expecting Figueiredo to KO Moreno but that wasn’t the case. Instead Moreno submitted Figueiredo in he third round, thus becoming the first Mexican born UFC champion.

“The Assassin Baby” has improved leaps and bounds since his first UFC run. He has never been finished in MMA and has diverse skillset that outsmarted Figgy in their rematch. In terms of striking defense which will be vital for the trilogy, Moreno has 58% and Figueiredo 49%. This was Figueiredo’s downfall in both fights, leaving his guard open and inviting Moreno in so he can aim to land a knockout shot.

Incredible joy and respect! Aftermath of UFC 263 as Brandon Moreno becomes UFC champ!

In terms of a gameplan for UFC 269, Figueiredo aims to neutralize Moreno’s jab. Which was a key factor at keeping the fight within his range. “We are already working out a strategy to neutralize [the jab], but most important is to be aggressive like I was in my first fight,” the Brazilian ex-champ discussed. “Every time Moreno faces aggressive opponents that attack before him, like I did in our first fight, and [Alexandre] Pantoja did twice against him, he has problems. Be sure I’ll bring a lot of problems to him in that third fight.”

However, It will take more than just the jab to focus on to stop Moreno’s attack. He’s shown he can hang with an explosive striker on the feet for eight rounds and holds a vital submission win in this trilogy. I see the third fight being another classic with some real flashes of brilliance from both sides. In the end I expect Moreno to get the job done before the judges have their say. This is now Moreno’s era and this fight is next step for him cementing his legacy in the UFC.

UFC 269 Betting Picks

  • Moreno by finish
  • Under 4.5 rounds

Matchmaking Options at Flyweight

Moreno vs Figueiredo 3 has a real boxing matchmaking feel to it. There doesn’t necessarily need to be a third fight, but you won’t find many fans up in arms as both previous fights were modern day classics.

Fresh off back to back wins Alexandre Pantoja isn’t ready and for that reason we are seeing these two paired up again.The winner of Moreno vs Figgy 3 will likely face Askar Askarov. The undefeated Russian also has a split decision draw with the current champ from 2019.

For more MMA news and odds, check our our MMA section. Who do you think will win at UFC 269, Moreno or Figueiredo? Comment below!

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