- UFC London odds are live with Paddy Pimblett as a -275 favorite vs Jordan Leavitt +210 underdog.
- Leavitt is expetced to be Paddy’s toughest test in his MMA run to date.
- My early betting prediction is Paddy Pimbleet to win by finish at UFC London
Paddy “The Baddy” returns to action on July 23rd at UFC London. Taking on Paddy will be Jordan Leavitt (10-1) at a lightweight bout set for UFC Fight Night 208. Headlining the London card will be Curtis Blaydes taking on #6 ranked heavyweight Tom Aspinall. We review the UFC London odds and give an early betting pick for Pimbleet vs Leavitt below.
Pimblett vs Leavitt Odds
According to online betting site BetMGM, Paddy Pimblett is a -275 betting favorite to defeat Jordan Leavitt at UFC London. Paddy “The Baddy” has an implied win probability of 73%. Currently, Leavitt is a +210 underdog, with $100 wagered on the chance of an upset here netting you $210.
Paddy opened as a -400 favorite when these odds were initially released, with some early public UFC betting money going on Leavitt to balance out the line. If you are looking for a site to bet on UFC London, check out these top-rated sports betting apps.
Leavitt also known as ‘The Monkey King’ has a solid MMA record of 10-1. Pimblett’s record in the UFC is 2-0, while Leavitt’s promotional record stands at 3-1. Both are reality new to the UFC, which makes this a more difficult fight for oddsmakers to price.
Pimblett vs Leavitt Prediction
Both fighters here are on the rise, with top-notch skills and youth on their side. Paddy will have a slight advantage here with his explosiveness and unbeaten UFC run thus far. For Leavitt, he possess a real threat to Paddy on the ground where he has great ground control and this could take some pop out of Paddy’s performance.
Many fans are not pleased to see such a big name like Pimblett take on a top-ten opponent yet. Without realizing that Leavitt is 3-1 and makes sense to test “The Baddy” before he takes on more high-level opponents.
When it comes to the ground games of both fighters, Pimblett and Leavitt are equal in Jiu-Jitsu and this would be Leavitt’s best way to win the fight. For Pimblett he has a better advantage to hurt Leavitt on the feet and either finish him by strikes or go for a submission.
Using UFC stats, I found some key stats from the five total fights Leavitt and Pimblett have been in. Leavitt has more octagon time with an average of 8 minutes vs 4 for Paddy. In terms of significant strikes landed Paddy delivers 6.07 compared to 2.49 for Leavitt. This is a huge discrepancy and one that Paddy will need to keep the volume up and have the edge if this fight finishes inside or outside the distance. For takedown accuracy, it’s “virtually identical” at 25% which makes for an even playing field.
Paddy has become just as famous for his performances as he has for gaining weight in-between fights. Given his frame, this allows him to not just pack on any type of weight but muscle too. I expect Paddy to have a clear strength advantage over Leavitt and use that in the grappling exchanges to break free or take Leavitt down.
Both of Paddy’s 2 UFC bouts have ended in the first round, a submission win over Rodrigo Vargas and before that a 1st round KO over Luigi Vendramini. I expect Leavitt to hold on a while longer but don’t expect this fight to go the distance.
Betting Pick: Paddy Pimblett Under 2.5 Rounds
Pimblett Expects Leavitt to Wilt Under Pressure
In a recent video on his own YouTube channel, Paddy Pimblett had this to say about his next opponent -“I don’t even know that much about him, to be honest,”
“He’s a black belt in jiu-jitsu. He’s 3-1 in the UFC. As I say, he’s a black belt, so that’s the best thing that he’s got going for him when I knock him out on the feet, in the first five minutes, more than likely. That’s it. I’m going to come out and put it on him in a big way and he’ll wilt under the pressure in the first or early second, and I’m going to finish him.”
Then Leavitt bounced back on The MMA Hour earlier this month, with a confident answer that he will ‘Handily Beat’ the Liverpudlian at UFC London.