- UFC odds are in favor of Sean Strickland -150 against the fast-rising Abus Magomedov +125.
- Abus Magomedov won by 1st round KO in his UFC debut, and many believe he could be a future title contender.
- See our UFC Vegas 76 betting prediction for Strickland vs Magomedov below.
Strickland is set to go head-to-head with Abusupiyan Magomedov on July 1, 2023, at UFC on ESPN 48. This middleweight bout will headline the event and could be a fantastic opportunity Magomedov to pick up a win against a top-ten opponent.
Let’s dive into the latest Strickland vs Magomedov odds and provide you with a detailed betting preview and prediction for this highly anticipated fight.
Strickland vs Magomedov Odds
| Fighter | Odds |
| Sean Strickland | -150 |
| Abus Magomedov | +125 |
Sean Strickland is the favorite in this bout, with odds set at -150. This indicates that a bettor would need to wager $150 to potentially win a profit of $100. In terms of an implied probability for Strickland, it is approximately 60%.
On the other side, Abus Magomedov enters the fight as the underdog with odds of +125. This means that a successful $100 wager on Magomedov could yield a profit of $125. In terms of implied probability, Magomedov’s odds imply a probability of around 44.4%.
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Sean Strickland vs Abus Magomedov Prediction
This will be Magomedov’s second UFC bout, after scoring an impressive first round KO in his UFC debut in Paris last year. Strickland on the other hand is coming off a win over Nassourdine Imavov, a much needed one as he was on a two-fight losing skid prior to that.
When it comes to average fight time, Strickland has showcased his durability, with fights lasting around 14 minutes and 26 seconds on average. In contrast, Magomedov has a remarkably quick average fight time of just 19 seconds. This suggests that Magomedov possesses the ability to end fights explosively and decisively.
In terms of physical attributes, Strickland stands at 6 feet 1 inch tall, while Magomedov enjoys a slight height advantage at 6 feet 2 inches. Their weights are identical at 185 pounds, showcasing a fair matchup in terms of size and power. However, Magomedov holds a slight reach advantage, with his reach spanning 78 inches compared to Strickland’s 76 inches.
Examining their striking capabilities, Strickland has displayed a steady striking rate, landing an average of 5.76 significant strikes per minute (SLpM). However, Magomedov showcases an astonishing striking rate, landing an impressive 22.11 significant strikes per minute.
Magomedov’s striking accuracy is a staggering 100%, highlighting his precision and devastating power. In contrast, Strickland maintains a striking accuracy of 41%. Strickland’s defense is solid, absorbing 4.25 strikes per minute (SApM) with a defense rate of 63%. Magomedov, on the other hand, has an exceptional defense, avoiding any strikes thus far in his career.
Transitioning to the grappling aspect, Strickland demonstrates a well-rounded game, averaging 1.04 takedowns per 15 minutes with a takedown accuracy of 64%. His takedown defense stands at a commendable 85%.
Magomedov, however, has not registered any takedowns in his fights, but his takedown defense remains untested. Both fighters possess a low submission average, with Strickland averaging 0.2 submissions per 15 minutes.
Considering their strengths, Strickland’s durability, well-rounded skills, and takedown ability could play a crucial role in this matchup. He has the potential to control the fight and impose his game plan through takedowns and ground control.
Magomedov’s explosive striking power and impeccable accuracy make him a dangerous threat. His ability to end fights quickly can create a sense of urgency for his opponents.
To secure victory, Strickland must utilize his takedowns effectively, exploiting Magomedov’s untested takedown defense. Once on the ground, Strickland can utilize his grappling skills and aim to dominate the fight through control and ground-and-pound.
Magomedov needs to capitalize on his striking prowess and deliver his devastating blows with precision. He should look to keep the fight standing and engage in a striking battle where he can utilize his exceptional accuracy to finish the fight early.
In terms of advantages, Magomedov’s striking accuracy and power give him a significant edge in the striking department. However, Strickland’s durability, grappling skills, and overall UFC experience provide him with a well-rounded advantage in the fight.
While, Strickland is the favorite for a reason I’m picking Magomedov the underdog here with better betting value to cause an upset.
Betting Pick: Magomedov