- Joseph Benavidez is the betting favorite (-167) against Deiveson Figueiredo (+135) for vacant Flyweight title.
- Can Benavidez finally get his hands on UFC gold? After failing twice to Demetrious Johnson in the past.
- Will Figueiredo’s takedowns and grappling play a key part in this fight?
On Feb 29 The UFC will travel to Norfolk with UFC Fight Night 169. The main event will be headlined by Benavidez vs. Figueiredo for the vacant flyweight title. We preview the opening odds for Benavidez vs Figueiredo and see who has the edge.
Benavidez vs. Figueiredo Odds
According to the oddsmakers Joseph Benavidez has a 62.5% chance of defeating Deiveson Figueiredo and becoming the new Flyweight champion. If you like these odds you can bet $167 to win $100 on Benavidez.
For Deiveson Figueiredo he has a less 42.5% chance of upsetting the oddsmakers and defeating Benavidez. His underdog value means if you bet $100 you could win $135.
Benavidez vs Figueiredo Fight Stats
First off, Benavidez is a southpaw and Figueiredo has had issues with southpaws and switch stance fighters in the past. When Figueiredo faced switch stance fighter Jarred Brooks, he was only landed 39% significant strikes compared to Brooks at 57%. However Figueiredo managed to win by split decision the due to takedowns and ground control.
Figueiredo will have the advantage if this fight goes to the ground. He has 47% takedown accuracy compared to Benavidez’s 31% that’s according to UFCstats. His last win over Tim Elliot was by submission in the first round. Benavidez should excel with his volume of strikes, he’s always been a busy fighter and holds a win over Henry Cejudo who just vacated the belt to stay at bantamweight.
Betting Value at UFC Fight Night 169
This is Joseph Benavidez’s time to shine simple as. At odds of -167 there is enough value to bet on him as the favorite. Don’t be surprised if Figueiredo causes an upset though, as this will be Benavidez’s third title shot – third time’s a charm right?