Errol Spence Jr vs Keith Thurman Odds & Prediction at Junior Middleweight

Errol Spence Jr vs Keith Thurman
  • Boxing odds are live for Errol Spence Jr -800 vs Keith Thurman +490.
  • Spence will be leaving 147 behind for this one to take on Thurman at 154 pounds.
  • We give our fight prediction for Spence Jr. vs Thurman below.

Terence Crawford will have to wait just a tad longer for his welterweight unification bout against Errol Spence Jr. As Spence looks to take on Keith “One Time” Thurman this April. The fight was ordered by the WBC and with both Premier Boxing Champions fighters, it was a more straightforward process to get completed.

Spence vs. Thurman fight would take place at 154 pounds. The WBC, IBF, and WBA welterweight titles will not be on the line. We review the current Spence vs Thurman odds with a betting pick to follow below.

Spence vs Thurman Odds

Errol Spence Jr-800
Keith Thurman+490

The latest Spence vs Thurman betting odds is giving “The Truth” Spence, an 88.8% win probability to defeat Thurman. From the majority of sports betting sites we checked, Spence was no shorter than -800, with Thurman offering real value at +490.

“One Time’s” only loss was to Manny Pacquiao and he looked reinvigorated in his last fight against Mario Barrios. A $100 wager on Thurman to defeat Spence would net $490 at this early boxing odds.

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Errol Spence Jr vs Keith Thurman Prediction

Even though Spence vs Thurman is happening years later than it should be, it still remains one of the biggest fights of 2023. It seems that Spence is willing to relinquish his welterweight titles and move up to higher-weight classes for bigger fights this year.

This won’t be Spence’s fight rodeo at 154 pounds, the welterweight champ fought Chris van Heerden in 2015 and won by 8th-round TKO. Spence also naturally competed at 162 pounds in the 2012 Olympics. Spence is coming off of an April win over Yordenis Ugas, where he added the WBA belt to his collection.

Even after suffering a near career-ending car crash in October 2019, Spence has defied the odds and come back equally as strong. Spence will be 33 years of age it seems like the right career move to take on Thurman who is 34.

Due to Thurman’s inactivity and sporadic injuries over the years, it’s safe to say he’s entering the twilight of his career. That being said he’s still technically as sound as ever, but can he still keep that pace over 12 rounds against Errol Spence? In his last fight against Barrios, Thurman started strong but tended to fade later in the fight. Nonetheless, it was an impressive win and his first time inside the ring since suffering his only pro loss to Pacquiao in 2019.

Thurman needs to harness his strongest attributes such as the jab, and use his range and impressive power – just like he did In wins over Garcia and Shawn Porter during his lengthy title reign.

Expect this fight to be personally given the background between both fighters. The build-up should be excellent and I’m anticipating Spence to really go to work on Thurman’s ribs to wear down his rival.

Thurman has fought just five times in the last six and a half years. If this fight was five years ago, this would be a much more competitive bout. If Thurman’s odds drift past +500, then “One Time” by KO could be worth a sneaky bet. Looking at the bigger picture though, I would probably bet on Spence by decision to get better odds than -800.

Betting Pick: Spence Jr by Decision.

Will Spence vs Crawford Sill Happen in 2023?

Spence vs Crawford is still not guaranteed to happen in 2023. At this point, I believe we are edging further away from seeing the fight be made – at least at welterweight anyway. I can see a situation here where they do eventually fight within the next 12 to 16 months, just in a different weight class.

There are many fantastic match-ups at middleweight for both fighters, including Charlo – who trains with Spence. Besides Charlo, fights against Brian Castano and Sebastian Fundora are highly intriguing.

Leave a comment below on when you think Spence vs Crawford will happen.

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