- Gilbert Burns is a -350 favorite according to the latest UFC 283 odds. Can Burns get a win over Magny and get one more title shot?
- His opponent Neil Magny is currently a +275 underdog, who’s coming off a submission win over Daniel Rodriguez.
- We give our fight prediction for Burns vs Magny at UFC 283 below.
Gilbert Burns vs Neil Magny is set to feature on the main card at UFC 283. The UFC’s first PPV of 2023 will take place on January 21, at the Jeunesse Arena in Rio de Janeiro, Brazil. The main card airs on pay-per-view following prelims on ABC and ESPN+.
We review the latest UFC 283 betting odds for Burns vs Magny with a fight prediction to follow.
Burns vs Magny Odds
Oddsmakers are all hot on Gilbert Burns at -350 to defeat Neil Magby at +275. UFC betting sites are giving “Durinho” a 77.7% win probability over Magny, who is typically the betting favorite.
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UFC 283 – Gilbert Burns vs Neil Magny Prediction
Magny as we mentioned above is used to being the favorite for his last few UFC bouts, with the exception of his last loss against the rising Shavkat Rakhmonov. This was a major setback for Magny who had won 5 out of his last 6 bouts prior to this.
Both fighters are around their mid-30s now and edging out of their primes – that being said they are still top-5 welterweights and could be one or two fights away from a title shot still.
Burns is coming off an absolute barnburner against Khamzat Chimaev. A 3-round war, that many believe could of went Durinho’s way if it was a 5-round bout. Burns is the type of fighter who will typically fight to the level of his competition, and with Magny being overlooked by so many in the division he should take the same energy he brought to the Chimaev fight.
In terms of UFC stats for UFC 283, Burns will be at a 9-inch reach disadvantage – that could be a significant gameplan if used wisely for Magny. Striking defense both fighters are even at 54% and Burns has a slightly better striking accuracy at 48%.
Takedowns could play a vital part in Magny’s game as we’ve seen before. “The Haitian Sensation” lands an average of 2.43 takedowns per 15 minutes and has an accuracy of 42%. Taking Gilbert Burns down could be a dangerous move for Magny though, Burns who’s more known for his striking these days is a black belt with 40% of his wins by submission.
Expect to see lots of public money go on Burns by KO, I’m leaning more towards decision given Magny’s range and durability.
Betting Pick: Burns by Decision
Odds for UFC 283 Card
Burns Going for the Finish
While our betting prediction for UFC 283 has Burns by decision. The Brazilian stated he is indeed going for the finish inside the 3-round fight.
“I’m at a point right now where a win is not enough,” Burns said on Michael Bisping’s “Believe You Me” podcast. “I need to get a finish and in order to have that type of finish, the training camp is different. I’m putting a lot of work to make sure Jan. 21, I come ready to finish this guy. Not just a win, not a bullsh*t decision, not let’s see what the judges are gonna see. No, f*ck that. No more. I never like it, but after the last one even more now. I don’t want to depend on the judges. They’ve been messing up a lot of guys, so I have 15 minutes to finish this guy and don’t let the judges make a decision for me.”
He continued, “I’m taking him super seriously. Especially, like I said, I want a finish in Brazil. I don’t want just a decision, take the guy down and hold him down or whatever. No, I want a finish. So I’m working my butt off for this fight, and I do respect that guy so much, but I see I can finish him, and that’s exactly what I’m working towards.”
Whos your betting pick Magny or Burns? Comment below!