- Latest UFC 269 Odds: Charles Oliveira +125 underdog vs Dustin Poirier -145 betting favorite.
- Best Bet: Dustin Poirier by TKO/KO +125.
- Check out the latest UFC 269 predictions and betting props for Oliveira vs Poirier.
UFC 269 is set for December 11 at the T-Mobile area, Las Vegas. Charles “Do Bronx” Oliveira will defend the lightweight strap against Dustin “The Diamond” Poirier. Dustin remains the slight favorite over the champ Oliveira, in this guide we will cover the best bets and predictions for Oliveira vs Poirier at UFC 269.
Charles Oliveira vs Dustin Poirier Predictions
This is a fantastic fight for the lightweight division. Dustin is the uncrowned champion not that Charles doesn’t deserve the title right now. At UFC 269 the true best lightweight will be decided, with these two fighters rising to the top in the post-Khabib era.
I expect this fight to be highly entertaining and technical and the betting odds somewhat reflect that too. Charles remains the slight underdog, similar to when he fought Tony Ferguson and dominated “El Cucuy”.
One of the main strengths Dustin has entering this bout is his physical attributes over Charles. DP has developed into a wide and broad frame that’s incredibly strong and durable for the division. However, Dustin will be at a two-inch reach disadvantage to Charles, this is something that a boxer like DP will have to work around if he wants to get within striking distance.
Both fighters have excellent gas tanks, with Dustin being the more proven athlete when it comes to championship rounds and experience.
If this fight goes to the ground we could be in for some wild exchanges for BJJ fans. “Do Bronx” holds the record for most submission wins in UFC history and Poirier is no slouch either, with probably the second-best BJJ game at lightweight.
If Dustin gives his back to Charles then it could be lights out for “the Diamond”. With 19 submission wins on his resume, that’s a 61% submission rate. Oliveira’s odds to defeat Poirier by submission is currently +265.
Since Dustin’s loss to Michael Johnson back in 2016, we saw Dustin bounce back with notable wins over Eddie Alvarez, Justin Gaethje, Max Holloway, Dan Hooker, and Conor McGregor twice in the space of eighteen months.
Oliveira entered the UFC at the ripe age of 21, similar to Dustin he started his career at featherweight. Since moving up to lightweight, his only loss has come to Paul Felder. “Do Bronx” has the longest active win streak in the lightweight division.
I expect to see a patient Poirier here who will look for openings and pick up the pace as the fight progresses. Dustin clearly has the edge when it comes to making creative adjustments on the fly, with a fight IQ that’s a force to be reckoned with. He will need it as this version of Oliveira – who might try and pull off some unorthodox moves earlier in the fight to catch DP by surprise.
It hasn’t been an easy road to the top for Dustin or Charles. Both fighters have had their fair shares of learning and evolving but now they have both hit their stride and are easily top ten pound-for-pound UFC fighters. In the end, it will be Dustin getting paid in full by stoppage over Oliveira.
Betting Pick: Dustin Poirer by TKO/KO.
UFC 269 Best Bets for Oliveira vs Poirier
|Under 3.5 Rounds||-265|
|Over 3.5 Rounds||+205|
|Fight goes to decision||+300|
|Fight doesn’t go to decision||-450|
|Oliveira wins by TKO/KO||+755|
|Poirier wins by TKO/KO||+125|
|Oliveira wins by submission||+265|
|Poirier wins by submission||+1050|
For a list of sports betting sites that exclusively cater to MMA bettors, check out the best UFC betting sites, prior to wagering at UFC 269.