- Josh Emmet has +260 odds in his upcoming fight against Ilia Topuria (-330 favorite).
- Ilia Topuria has finished is last four opponents and could be a future title contender at 145 pounds.
- We’ll dive into the best UFC betting props and prediction for Emment vs Topuria.
On June 24, a highly anticipated featherweight bout between the fifth-ranked Josh Emmett and the fast-rising Ilia Topuria will headline UFC on ABC 5. The event is scheduled to take place at the VyStar Veterans Memorial Arena in Jacksonville, Florida. Now, let’s delve into the current betting odds and make some predictions for the Emmett vs. Topuria showdown.
Emmet vs Topuria Odds
| Fighter | Odds |
| Josh Emmett | +260 |
| Ilia Topuria | -330 |
The latest UFC odds for Emmet vs Topuria are live. Josh Emmett enters this fight as that +260 underdog, it implies a probability of approximately 27.8% for Emmett to win the fight. On the other hand, Ilia Topuria is the favorite, as indicated by the negative odds of -330. These odds suggest an implied win probability of around 76.7% for Topuria.
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Josh Emmett vs Ilia Topuria Prediction
Josh Emmett, holds a professional record of 18 wins and 3 losses, has an average fight time of 12 minutes and 51 seconds. Emmett has a reach of 70 inches and fights in an orthodox stance.
“The Fighting Falmer” he has shown solid striking skills with a significant strike rate of 4.17 strikes landed per minute (SLpM) and a striking accuracy of 37%. However, he absorbs a relatively high number of strikes, with 4.43 strikes absorbed per minute (SApM). Emmett’s striking defense is decent at 62%.
On the grappling side, Emmett averages 1.07 takedowns per 15 minutes, with a takedown accuracy of 37%. He has a takedown defense rate of 58% and a submission average of 0.1 submissions per 15 minutes. Clearly Emmet is all hands and hasn’t relied on grappling to get to the dance.
Looking at his most recent fights, Emmett suffered a loss against Rodriguez but had notable wins over Mitchell, Kattar, Ige, and Hall. It’s worth mentioning that he has faced tough competition and has displayed knockout power in his victories.
On the other side of the octagon, he’s face Ilia Topuria, who boasts an undefeated record of 13 wins and no losses. At 5 feet 7 inches tall and weighing 145 pounds, Topuria is similar in size to Emmett. His average fight time is 7 minutes and 20 seconds, suggesting he tends to finish fights relatively quickly.
Topuria’s striking numbers indicate efficiency, with a significant strike rate of 3.32 SLpM and an impressive striking accuracy of 49%. He absorbs fewer strikes than Emmett, with a SApM of 2.75, and shares the same striking defense rate of 62%. This suggests that Topuria is defensively solid and has a more accurate striking style.
In the grappling department, Topuria’s numbers stand out. He averages 2.45 takedowns per 15 minutes with a takedown accuracy of 46%. His takedown defense rate is an impressive 92%, indicating his ability to prevent opponents from taking him down. Additionally, Topuria holds a submission average of 2.5 submissions per 15 minutes, highlighting his prowess on the ground.
In his recent fights, Topuria has secured victories over Herbert, Burgos, Jackson, Bektic, and Zalal, showcasing his well-rounded skill set and finishing ability.
Josh Emmett’s strengths lie in his powerful striking, as evidenced by his significant strike rate and knockout victories. However, he needs to be cautious about his striking defense and strike absorption, as these numbers indicate vulnerability in exchanges.
Ilia Topuria, on the other hand, appears to have the advantage in terms of accuracy and defensive striking. Additionally, his grappling skills, highlighted by a high takedown accuracy and defense rate, as well as an impressive submission average, suggest that he could pose a significant threat on the ground.
Considering these factors, our prediction leans towards Ilia Topuria. His well-rounded skill set, ability to finish fights, and undefeated record make him a strong contender in this matchup. However, Josh Emmett’s power and experience should not be underestimated. He has faced tough competition and has proven himself capable of delivering knockout blows.
In order to secure a victory, Emmett needs to utilize his striking effectively, looking for opportunities to land powerful shots and potentially finish the fight with a knockout. While not leaving himself ope to get countered by Topuria, while he moves in for an attack.
For Topuria, he should look to capitalize on his accurate striking and utilize his superior grappling skills. If he can successfully take Emmett down and control him on the ground, he has a good chance of submitting him or earning a dominant decision victory. Topuria should also remain mindful of Emmett’s knockout power and avoid engaging in prolonged striking exchanges where he may be at a disadvantage.
Ultimately, this fight has the potential to be a a close and engaging contest between two talented featherweights. While Topuria may have a slight edge in terms of well-rounded skills, Emmett’s power and experience make him a formidable opponent.
Considering the strengths and weaknesses of both fighters, the odds favor Ilia Topuria as the slight favorite for a good reason. I expect Topuria’s youth and diverse skillset to outwork Josh Emmet and aim to score a win inside the distance at UFC on ABC 5.
Betting Pick: Topuria inside the distance.