Pedro Munhoz vs Sean O’Malley Odds & Prediction for UFC 276

Sean O'Malley vs Pedro Munhoz
  • Pedro Munoz opens as a +175 underdog against Sean O’Malley as a -225 favorite.
  • The two bantamweights are set to clash at UFC 276, which is set to feature two title fights.
  • Can Munhoz find a way to upset the odds or will O’Malley score his 4th straight win?

At UFC 276 “Suga” Sean O’Malley’s biggest test yet will be #10 ranked bantamweight Pedro Munhoz. O’Malley is now ranked #13 and wants to finally crack into the top ten with a win over Munhoz. We review the opening odds & fight prediction for Munoz vs O’Malley at UFC 275 below.

Munhoz vs O’Malley Odds

Pedro Munhoz+175
Sean O’Malley-225

According to BetMGM Sportsbook, former RFA bantamweight Pedro Munhoz is a +175 to defeat O’Malley at UFC 276. Munhoz who’s only won one of his last five bouts needs a win here to secure his position as a future contender at 135-pounds.

Meanwhile, “Suga” Sean maintains his hot streak with three straight consecutive finishes, entering this bout at UFC 276 as a solid -225 betting favorite giving him a 69.2% win probability over Munhoz. For more sites on where you can bet on UFC fights, check out our UFC betting sites.

O’Malley vs Munhoz Betting Prediction

The “Sugar Show” is set to return at UFC 276 and Sean O’Malley see’s Pedro Munhoz as the next step in his conquest at 135 pounds.

When it comes to UFC stats for this bout, Strikes Landed per Min. (SLpM), O’Malley lands 8.26 to Munhoz at 5.50. They both throw at volume, but O’Malley clearly has the edge with an accuracy of 62% compared to 43% for Munhoz.

O’Malley has a finish rate of 85% with 11 by KO and 1 submission. His only loss was to Marlon Vera, which was a result of a leg injury that cause “Sugar” to stumble and get finished by “Chito”.

Sean O’Malley Interview: Fighting Pedro Munhoz, Chito Vera’s win & Henry Cejudo’s return

O’Malley will also have a huge 7-inch reach advantage over O’Malley, which will benefit “Sugars” style and set up the straight right down the pipe. Munhoz really needs a win here and if he can upset the odds, would keep him at bantamweight. Otherwise, there were rumblings of him moving down to flyweight for one last title run at 125 lbs.

This is certainly a winnable fight for O’Malley, Munhoz has lost a step in his past few fights. That has been close, but the chances of Munhoz stopping O’Malley here are slim. He will need to dig deep and craft a smart game plan to overcome the crisp striking and excellent timing that O’Malley brings to every fight.

Over the course of 3 rounds, Munhoz will try and attack the legs of O’Malley and take away the “Sugar’s” movement. I see this playing out competitively and while O’Malley has finished his past 3 opponents, Munhoz is a step up in competition and it will go to the judge’s scorecards.

Betting Pick: O’Malley by Decision.

Sugar Sean Dreams Big

O’Malley’s confidence is unparalleled in the lower UFC weight classes, his dreams to become a bantamweight champion and have a career that eclipses Conor McGregor are real.

“I think it makes sense,” O’Malley said on The MMA Hour. “We both fought on that last card. It’s a good step up. You look at his last couple losses, I mean, they’re to former world champions, Dominick CruzJose AldoFrankie Edgar. He’s not losing the some scrubs. I think ‘Prelim Pedro’ is the real deal. I think it’s my toughest opponent to date, 100 percent, no questions asked. I mean, he knocked out Cody [Garbrandt], but who hasn’t? So I guess doesn’t really matter. But yeah, ‘Prelim Pedro’ is going to be my toughest fight, for sure.”

“That was all jokes and stuff. I’m ready to climb the ladder,” O’Malley said. “I think ‘Prelim Pedro’ is a great next step. He’s never been finished. I’m definitely looking to go in there put his lights out. I don’t want to go to a decision. Some people don’t mind going to a decision. Not me. I want to go out there and put his lights out. If it does [go to decision], I’m not going to be sad at the end of the day. If I whoop his ass for 15 [minutes], I’m not going to be sad. But I’m definitely looking to go out there and get my hand raised with a finish.”

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