UFC 300 has its headliner, and while it’s not Jones, Izzy, or McGregor – Alex Pereira vs. Jamahal Hill has immense significance and headlines the historic UFC 300 pay-per-view. Set to unfold on April 13, 2024, at the T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas, this bout marks a pivotal moment in the UFC light heavyweight division.
Defending champion Alex Pereira squares off against former titleholder Jamahal Hill in a clash that promises riveting action and we review the latest odds and best bets for Pereira vs Hill at UFC 300.
Pereira vs Hill Odds
| Fighter | Odds |
| Alex Pereira | -150 |
| Jamahal Hill | +118 |
The betting odds for UFC 300 featuring Alex Pereira and Jamahal Hill have been unveiled. Pereira emerges as a -150 favorite over Hill at DraftKings Sportsbook. Bet $150 on Perieria to net a $100 profit, meanwhile, a $100 bet on Hill could net bettors a $118 profit.
Pereira is already a global UFC star, but a win here could project the Brazilian to another level. Hill, on the other hand, has turned around his UFC run after losing to Paul Craig back in 2021, “Sweet Dreams” now has four straight over Crute, Santos, Walker, and Teixeira.
Best Betting Props for Pereira vs Hill
Starting with the most likely outcomes, Pereira winning by TKO/KO carries decent odds across the board, ranging from +100 to +125. This implies a probability of around 44% to 50%. Given Pereira’s background as a multiple-time kickboxing champion known for his knockout power.
Another probable outcome is the fight ending within the first two rounds, with odds ranging from -129 to +340, suggesting probabilities between 44% to 76%. This aligns with the expectation of a potentially explosive start, especially considering both fighters’ aggressive styles.
On the flip side, the least likely outcomes appear to be Hill winning by submission or decision, as reflected in his odds. Hill winning by submission is quite a long shot, with odds ranging from +1400 to +1600, translating to probabilities of around 5% to 7%. Similarly, Hill winning by decision has odds of +700 to +750, indicating probabilities of approximately 11% to 13%.
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Alex Pereira vs Jamahal Hill Betting Prediction
Alright, fight fans, we’ve got an electrifying matchup on our hands! Strap in as we break down the Tale of the Tape between two absolute beasts of the Octagon: Alex Pereira and Jamahal Hill. It’s a clash of styles, a battle of wits, and a showdown of sheer skill.
Pereira’s striking game is nothing short of spectacular, with a staggering 5.00 strikes landed per minute and an impressive striking accuracy of 62%. This man throws bombs, folks, and he’s not afraid to go toe-to-toe with anyone standing in his way.
At the same height as Pereira, Hill matches up evenly in terms of physicality. Hill’s striking game is on another level, though, with an eye-popping 7.31 strikes landed per minute. He’s quick, he’s precise, and he’s not afraid to mix it up in the stand-up department.
Pereira’s power and precision striking make him a threat from bell to bell. He knows how to find his range and unleash devastating combinations that can turn the lights out on his opponents.
On the flip side, Hill’s speed and volume striking are his bread and butter. He likes to keep a high pace and overwhelm his adversaries with a barrage of strikes from all angles.
Pereira has shown vulnerability in his defense, absorbing 3.65 strikes per minute. While his offensive output is impressive, he needs to tighten up his guard to avoid taking unnecessary damage. As for Hill, his striking accuracy sits at 54%, indicating slight room for improvement in terms of landing cleaner shots.
When it comes to grappling, Pereira holds a slight edge with his ability to secure takedowns, albeit averaging just 0.19 per 15 minutes. Hill, on the other hand, prefers to keep the fight standing, boasting a solid takedown defense of 73%.
For Pereira, it’s all about utilizing his power and precision to dictate the pace of the fight. He needs to be patient, pick his shots wisely, and look for openings to land those fight-ending blows.
As for Hill, he should focus on maintaining his high-volume output while using his footwork to evade Pereira’s power shots. He needs to stay active, stay elusive, and avoid getting drawn into a slugfest with the Brazilian bruiser.
Considering their fighting styles and past performances, Pereira’s technical striking and takedown defense gives him an advantage in stand-up fights. It’s important to note, Hill’s speed and dynamism make him a tough opponent.
This UFC 300 headliner is expected to be close, but online sportsbooks give Pereira a slight edge. “Poatan” has technical skills give him the upper hand, though Hill’s agility makes him a strong contender. Pereira is favored to win based on the current assessment.
Betting Pick: Pereira by KO
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