Betting Odds & Prediction for Holm vs Aldana at UFC on ESPN 16

  • UFC odds for Holly Holm vs Irene Aldana have been released.
  • Holm is a slight betting underdog (-120) to Aldana priced at (-110).
  • We give our early prediction for this competitive main event on UFC Fight Island.

UFC Fight Island round two continues this coming weekend. Holly Holm and Irene Aldana will headline UFC Fight Night on Yas Island. We preview the latest UFC odds & give our fight pick below.

Holly Holm vs Irene Aldana Odds

Holly Holm-120
Irene Aldana-110

The betting line has been set extremely close for this bantamweight fight. The oddsmakers are giving Holm the slight edge, with these odds of -120, (risk $120 to win $100). For Irene Aldana she’s a -110 underdog, (risk $110 to win $100).

With these close odds this fight is basically a pick’em. Expect the line to stay roughly close enough as the week continues.

The Stakes are High

This fight can be seen as a title eliminator in the bantamweight division. While Amanda Nunes reigns over two divisions and has her next bout lined up against Megan Anderson, the winner of this could be next in line. Nunes is a -800 betting favorite to Anderson, who are expected to fight at UFC 256.

Prediction for Holm vs Aldana

Holly Holm still remains one of the best strikers to step into the octagon. However she is starting to slow down, and at 38 years her MMA & Boxing years are starting to add up. While many expected her to breeze past Raquel Pennington in UFC 246, she didn’t look her best and showed a clear decline in her overall performance.

Aldana has won five of her last six fights, her bump in that streak was a split decision loss to Raquel Pennington in 2019. She is a durable opponent and hasn’t been finished since 2015, when she fought Tonya Evinger at Invicta 13.

Holm will have the advantage with her five-round Championship fight experience. She’s been in there with best including Ronda Rousey, Misha Tate, Cris Cyborg and Amanda Nunes. She has the great boxing and kicking technique alongside a high fight-IQ which Aldana should not overlook.

Overall this is a tricky one to wager on. You’ve got boxer vs boxer with one having youth on her side but not as hight level experience as Holm. We took one final look at the UFC fight stats to give us a clearer picture and final prediction.

According to UFC Stats Aldana lands 6.16 significant strikes per minute compared to Holm 2.75, who has gotten a little gun shy later in her career. This could be the edge and enough for Aldana to win more points on the judges score cards, if he does to a decision.

Pick: Aldana by Decision.

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