- UFC 253 fight week is upon us, let’s preview some predictions for Adesanya vs Costa.
- Adesanya will have an eight inch reach advantage over Costa, will this and his counter-striking be enough?
- We cover the best bets and free picks for UFC 253, that include Costa by KO and Adesanya by Decision.
Israel Adesanya will defend is middleweight title against Paulo Costa, someones ‘0’ has got to go! We give our fight prediction and cover the prop bets currently available to wager on across all major online sportsbooks.
First off, we cover the latest odds for the UFC 253 main card. With favorite vs underdog for an easy MMA betting strategy.
Latest UFC 253 Odds for Main Card
| Favorite | Odds | Underdog | Odds |
| Israel Adesanya | -175 | Paulo Costa | +137 |
| Dominick Reyes | -250 | Jan Błachowicz | +175 |
| Kai Kara-France | -236 | Brandon Royval | +170 |
| Ketlen Vieira | -188 | Sijara Eubanks | +140 |
| Hakeem Dawodu | -120 | Zubaira Tukhugov | -110 |
- Pick: Israel Adesanya.
- Pick: Jan Błachowicz.
- Pick: Brandon Royval.
- Pick: Ketlen Vieira.
- Pick: Hakeem Dawodu
Prediction for Adesanya vs Costa
Paulo Costa has looked unstoppable since entering the UFC. After just five fights, Borrachinha finds himself getting a title shot.
He proved to have granite chin against a competitive Yoel Romeo, however if that fight was five-rounds would he of still won?
His own downfall here is his style and how that could clash with the champ. Costa is all about thundering hooks and body shots, which don’t necessarily translate well against the fighter like Adesanya.
Adesanya has the championship experience of being in their with past their prime legends such as Anderson Silva, to the schooling former champ Rob Whittaker.
When it comes to vital fight stats, Adesanya averages 3.96 significant strikes per minute and 1.18 knockdowns on average per 15 minutes. Eight inch reach advantage Costa averages just under nine significant strikers per minute and a whopping 2.10 knockdown ratio per 15 minutes.
This fight is tailor made for Adesanya, he is a sharpshooter when it comes to striking and he’s proven to come out of wars in the past. The real test here will come in the last two rounds for both fighters, if it get’s that far.
Pick: Adesanya.
Adesanya vs Costa Fight Odds
| Method of Victory | Israel Adesanya | Paulo Costa |
| Win by KO/TKO | +130 | +120 |
| Win by points | +350 | +700 |
| Win by submission | +1200 | +1600 |
| Draw | +5000 | +5000 |
Our favorite bet here is Israel Adesanya to win by points/decision. For odds of +350, you can bet $100 to win $350. On the flip side of that, you have Paulo Costa to win by KO/TKO priced at +120, bet $100 to win $120.
Another enticing bet to look out for is the fight to go the distance. The odds on that are listed at Yes +200, and No -275.
Stay tuned to Betting Insider Journal all fight week for more UFC betting odds, news and more!
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