- UFC 289 odds are favoring Beneil Dariush -145 over former light heavyweight champion Charles Oliveira +120.
- Can Beneil Dariush make it to the top after almost 10 years in the UFC?
- See our betting prediction & prop bets for Dariush vs Oliveira at UFC 289.
The UFC’s return to Vancouver, Canada will go down on June 10 at Rogers Arena. Charles Oliveira will face no.4 ranked lightweight Beneil Dariush in a highly anticipated No. 1 contender bout at UFC 289.
The card will be headlined by Amanda Nunes vs Irene Aldana for the bantamweight championship. Let’s get right into the current odds for Oliveria vs Dariush and prediction.
Oliveira vs Dariush Odds
The latest UFC 289 odds indicate Charles Oliveira as a slight underdog +120. Meaning that if you bet $100 on Oliveira and he wins, you would receive $120 in profit, along with your original bet.
The betting favorite according to all US online sportsbooks, Beneil Dariush is listed with odds of -145. The minus sign signifies a favorite in this case. If you bet $145 on Dariush and he wins, you would receive $100 in profit, plus your initial bet.
Oliveira vs Dariush Prop Bets for UFC 289
Let’s explore the potential method of victory for each fighter. Dariush has favorable odds of winning by TKO/KO, with odds ranging from +225 to +320. This indicates that the sportsbooks consider Dariush’s striking ability and knockout potential as significant factor in the fight.
On the other hand, Oliveira is known for his submission skills, and the odds reflect this. Oliveira has favorable odds of winning by submission, ranging from +300 to +375. This suggests that the sportsbooks consider Oliveira’s grappling and submission game to be his biggest advantage.
Considering the implied probabilities, the most likely outcome appears to be Dariush winning by decision. Dariush has odds ranging from +300 to +360 for a decision victory, indicating that the sportsbooks believe this outcome is relatively probable.
The least likely outcome, based on the odds, seems to be a draw. The odds for a draw range from +4500 to +8000, indicating that the sportsbooks consider it highly unlikely for the fight to end in a draw.
Charles Oliveira vs Beneil Dariush Prediction
Alright, let’s break down the upcoming fight between Charles Oliveira and Beneil Dariush for some UFC betting insights.
Charles Oliveira enters this fight off his first loss in eleven fights. He’s incredibly seasoned with a record of 33 wins, 9 losses, and 1 no-contest. Oliveira’s average fight time is around 6 minutes and 57 seconds, and he stands at 5 feet 10 inches tall, weighing in at 155 pounds.
With a reach of 74 inches and an orthodox stance, Oliveira’s striking game is solid. He has a striking accuracy of 53% and lands an average of 3.48 significant strikes per minute. However, he absorbs about 3.20 strikes per minute, and his striking defense is at 51%.
On the grappling side, Oliveira excels. He has an impressive average of 2.37 takedowns per 15 minutes, with a takedown accuracy of 40%. His takedown defense stands at 55%. But where Oliveira truly shines is in his submission game, averaging 2.8 submissions per 15 minutes.
Meanwhile, Beneil Dariush has been clawing his through the 155-pound division and is on an eight-fight winning streak. He’s an accomplished fighter with a record of 22 wins, 4 losses, and 1 draw. Dariush has an average fight time of 9 minutes and 30 seconds.
With a southpaw stance and a reach of 72 inches, Dariush brings a different striking style to the octagon. He has a striking accuracy of 49%, landing an average of 3.81 significant strikes per minute. Dariush’s striking defense is solid, with a 58% defense rate.
Dariush’s takedown defense is outstanding at 80%, making it challenging for his opponents to take him down. His takedown average is 1.95 per 15 minutes, with a takedown accuracy of 34%. However, Dariush has a lower submission average of 0.9.
Considering their recent fights, Dariush’s last victory came against Gamrot, while Oliveira lost to Islam Makhachev. Both fighters have a lot to gain and lose here, especially Dariush, who will likely never get close to another title shot if he loses this number-one contender fight.
When it comes to betting at UFC 289 co-main fight, there are several factors to consider. Oliveira’s strong submission game could be a key advantage if the fight goes to the ground.
Dariush’s solid striking defense might allow him to avoid significant damage from Oliveira’s strikes. On the other hand, Oliveira’s higher volume of strikes landed per minute could give him an edge in the striking exchanges.
Oliveira’s grappling expertise and Dariush’s takedown defense should be carefully evaluated, along with their striking capabilities and recent performances.
I’m picking Oliveira as the underdog here to rebound off his last loss and potentially be the kryptonite to stop Dariush, in what should be a high-level fight in the UFC’s lightweight division.