- UFC Vegas 75 odds are in favor of Marvin Vettori -150 against Jared Cannonier as a +125 underdog.
- Can Cannoner still defy the odds at 39 years of age and make one more title run?
- See our betting odds and prediction for Vettori vs Cannonier below.
Get ready for an intense middleweight showdown between the formidable Marvin Vettori, “The Italian Dream” holds the #3 ranking, and the explosive Jared Cannonier, sitting at #4. Brace yourself for this middleweight headliner at UFC Fight Night on June 17, also known as UFC on ESPN 43. Prepare for a breakdown of the latest Vettori vs. Cannonier odds, accompanied by a betting prediction below.
Vettori vs Cannonier Odds
Based on the current UFC betting odds, Marvin Vettori is slightly favored at -150, while Jared Cannonier stands as the underdog at +125. By wagering $150 on Marvin Vettori, known as “The Italian Dream,” at these odds, you can expect a net return of $100, indicating an implied win probability of 66.6%.
On the other hand, Jared Cannonier, coming off a victory over Sean Strickland, offers an opportunity to earn a positive return. With a bet of $100 on “The Killa Gorilla,” you can potentially net $125.
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Marvin Vettori vs Jared Cannonier Prediction
Jared Cannonier and Marvin Vettori, both competed for the UFC middleweight title. In July 2022, Cannonier challenged Israel Adesanya for the title but was defeated by a unanimous decision.
Similarly, Vettori faced Adesanya in two matches. In April 2018, Vettori lost via split decision, and in June 2021, he lost by unanimous decision, with the latter match being for the UFC middleweight title.
Cannonier holds a slight edge in striking accuracy (50% vs. 44%) and defense (61% vs. 59%), which could give him an advantage in the stand-up exchanges. However, Vettori lands more significant strikes per minute (4.38 vs. 4.00), which could balance out Cannonier’s striking advantages. Given Cannonier’s longer reach and switch stance, he may be able to keep Vettori at a distance and land cleaner shots.
Vettori has a clear advantage in the grappling department, with a higher takedown average (1.77 vs. 0.17), takedown accuracy (44% vs. 25%), and takedown defense (75% vs. 64%). Vettori’s submission average is also higher (0.5 vs. 0.0), indicating his ability to finish fights on the ground.
Considering Vettori’s striking and grappling the Italian should be favored in this fight. His grappling advantage could be the key to victory, as he can control the fight on the ground and potentially secure a submission. However, Cannonier’s striking and reach advantage cannot be overlooked, and he may be able to keep the fight standing and land significant strikes.
Both fighters confidently step into the match after securing impressive victories following their previous setbacks. Vettori demonstrated his prowess with a decisive unanimous decision win over Roman Dolidze in March, while Cannonier exhibited his resilience by securing a hard-fought split-decision victory against Sean Strickland in December.
Vettori is highly dangerous when it comes to ground strikes, making him a standout fighter at middleweight. Notably, Cannonier has never been defeated via submission, showcasing his defensive capabilities.
I expect to see Cannonier keep the fight standing, utilizing his striking power and pushing Vettori back. His long reach helps him fend off takedown attempts, and he can quickly end the match with a powerful strike if his opponent gets too close at the wrong moment. In order to secure victory, Vettori’s best strategy would be to gradually wear down Cannonier and aim for a decision win rather than relying on takedowns.
I’m picking the betting underdog here Cannonier to pull off the upset here over Vettori. I do expect Vettori’s chin to hold up, but a late stoppage is possible with the most likely outcome of “The Killa Gorilla” winning by decision.
Betting Pick: Cannonier