- UFC 292 odds have Neil Magny as a +360 underdog against Ian Garry at -500.
- Will Neil be a tougher challenge than Neal for “The Future” at UFC 292?
- We review the latest UFC 292 prop bets for Magny vs Garry.
Get ready for UFC 292, headlined by Sterling vs. O’Malley on August 19, 2023, at Boston’s TD Garden.
In an unexpected turn of events, Neil Magny has been called upon to replace Geoff Neal at UFC 292. This alteration has now pitted Ian Garry against arguably the more challenging of the two welterweights. As we delve into the latest Magny vs. Garry odds, let’s set the stage for a much-anticipated prediction for this clash.
Magny vs Garry Odds
| Fighter | Odds |
| Neil Magny | +360 |
| Ian Garry | -500 |
The latest UFC 292 odds have Neil Magny as a +360 underdog. This means that if you were to bet $100 on Magny and he emerges victorious, you would earn a profit of $360. In terms of implied win probability, the odds of +310 suggest that bookmakers are assigning him approximately a 21.7% chance of winning.
Odds for Ian Garry defeating Neil Magny are becoming a lock at -500 indicating 83.3% chance of winning. Outside of betting the moneyline on this fight, I suggest fans look for the latest betting props, including Garry by TKO/KO, decision, or the fight doesn’t go the distance.
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Neil Magny vs Ian Garry Prediction
Ian Garry enters this bout with more pressure on his shoulders than was originally intended. With Geoff Neal out of the fight and the UFC 292 card suffering more fight cancellations, Magny and Garry find themselves slotted in right before the co-main.
Neil Magny is a seasoned UFC ver, a name synonymous with experience and resilience in the UFC octagon after picking up career wins over Geoff Neal, Robbie Lawler, Carlos Condit, and most recently Philip Rowe. Magny now steps up on short notice to take on the undefeated Ian Garry.
Magny’s striking game is marked by a consistent pace, landing an average of 3.52 significant strikes per minute (SLpM), displaying his ability to stay active throughout the fight. He might not have the highest striking accuracy at 46%, but he compensates with his defensive skills, absorbing just 2.25 strikes per minute (SApM) and boasting a 54% defense rate.
In the grappling department, Magny’s takedown average of 2.30 per 15 minutes presents a solid ground game. His takedown accuracy of 41% might not be exceptional, but his takedown defense stands at 56%. Additionally, his submission average of 0.3 per 15 minutes showcases his versatility in grappling scenarios.
Moving onto “The Future” Ian Garry, the undefeated prospect brings a youthful energy and an unyielding hunger to prove himself against a seasoned contender. Garry’s striking game is nothing short of impressive, averaging a remarkable 6.85 significant strikes landed per minute.
This showcases his aggressive approach and his ability to dictate the pace. With a striking accuracy of 55%, he has the potential to capitalize on his opponent’s openings.
However, his higher striking output also means he absorbs more strikes (4.09 SApM), which could be a point of concern against Magny’s well-rounded defense. His takedown defense at 63% further complements his preference for stand-up battles.
There will certainly be a clash of styles at UFC 292, with Magny’s experience and adaptability making him a formidable foe, and his diverse skill set could potentially disrupt Garry’s striking rhythm. If Magny can utilize his grappling prowess to control the fight and neutralize Garry’s striking power, he could sway the momentum in his favor.
On the other hand, Ian Garry’s lack of understanding of his timing and explosive striking demands respect. If he can keep the fight on his feet and maintain his high pace, he might be able to overwhelm Magny’s defense and create openings for his strikes.
Garry’s speed and unpredictable attacks could prove to be a challenge that Magny needs to navigate carefully. Clearly, Magny’s advantage lies in his experience, versatility, and ability to mix striking with grappling. He can exploit Garry’s relative inexperience by taking the fight to the ground, where his takedowns and submission skills could shine.
It’s important to note that Garrys team mate Shavkat Rakhmonov, holds a 2nd round submission win over Magny. With any valuable insights being able to be passed onto Garry for this fight. As with many of Ian Garry fights, there is a certain level of getting to the next level and I expect Magny to bring the resiliency and skill as always.
If Garry can control the distance and impose his striking pace, he will likely overwhelm Magny with volume and precision. Garry’s youth could also give him an edge in terms of speed and recovery, allowing him to maintain his aggressive approach.
Betting Pick: Garry by TKO/KO
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