- Odds are live for the highly anticipated rematch between Islam Makhachev and Alexander Volkanovski.
- Can Volkanovski execute revenge after taking this short-notice fight against Makhachev?
- We cover the best ways to bet on Volkanovski vs Makhachev 2 including prop bets to make.
The ante has been significantly raised with Alexander Volkanovski stepping up to the challenge on just ten days’ notice to face Makhachev. This much-anticipated rematch is set to headline UFC 294, scheduled for Saturday, October 21, at the Etihad Arena in Abu Dhabi.
Regrettably, Charles Oliveira incurred a severe cut above his eye, leading to his withdrawal from the fight. Can “Alexander The Great” live up to his moniker and secure the light heavyweight championship? Let’s explore the odds and opinions from online sportsbooks and experts to find out!
Makhachev vs Volkanovski 2 Odds
DraftKings Sportsbook is currently offering odds of -250 for the reigning light heavyweight champion, Islam Makhachev, and Alexander Volkanovski enters this rematch as a +200 underdog. If you were to place a bet on Volkanovski and he emerged victorious, a $100 bet could yield a $200 profit.
The odds for UFC 294 have significantly tightened compared to their initial bout at UFC 284 when Makhachev was a commanding -400 favorite. This shift in the moneyline reflects the competitive nature of their first clash and is understandable from the oddsmakers’ perspective.
Once the prop bets for Makhachev vs Volkanovski 2 are released, we’ll review them here and list the best bets for UFC 294.
UFC 294 Betting Props
Let’s break down the prop bets for the fight between Alexander Volkanovski and Islam Makhachev, considering implied probabilities and the most and least likely outcomes.
Most Likely Outcome: Makhachev winning is the most likely outcome according to the odds.
Over/Under 3½ Rounds:
- Over 3½ rounds: Odds of -200 suggest that the bookmakers believe it’s more likely that the fight will last beyond 3½ rounds.
- Under 3½ rounds: Odds of +150 indicate that the bookmakers think it’s less likely for the fight to end before 3½ rounds.
Most Likely Outcome: Online sportsbooks favor a fight that goes over 3½ rounds.
Fight Goes to Decision:
- Fight goes to decision: Odds of +108 suggest a higher likelihood that the fight will be decided by the judges.
- Fight doesn’t go to decision: Odds of -140 indicate a lower likelihood of a decision.
Most Likely Outcome: The odds favor the fight going to a decision.
Method of Victory:
- For Volkanovski, the odds for winning by TKO/KO (+550) are the same as Makhachev’s, implying that both are equally likely to win this way.
- Makhachev has better odds for winning by submission (+230) compared to Volkanovski’s (+2300).
Most Likely Outcome: Both fighters winning by TKO/KO is equally likely. However, Makhachev has a better chance of winning by submission.
Either Fighter Wins by TKO/KO or Submission:
Odds of +250 for either fighter winning by TKO/KO, while +200 for either fighter winning by submission.
Most Likely Outcome: The odds are similar, but a TKO/KO finish is slightly favored.
Fight Ends in TKO/KO/DQ or Submission:
- Odds for a TKO/KO/DQ finish in specific rounds are quite high, suggesting low probability.
- Most Likely Outcome: It’s unlikely that the fight ends in a specific round by TKO/KO/DQ or submission.
In summary, based on the odds, Makhachev is the favorite to win, and the bookmakers favor the fight going to a decision. Makhachev has a higher chance of winning by submission, while both fighters have similar odds for winning by TKO/KO. The odds for specific round outcomes and methods of victory are extremely unfavorable for both fighters, making them highly unlikely scenarios.
UFC 294 Betting Promos
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These sportsbooks are providing attractive promotions that can enhance your UFC betting experience. TonyBet offers a $350 sign-up promo, Bet99 provides a $600 deposit match, and Sports Interaction offers a 100% bonus up to $1,000. These bonuses can give you more value for your bets and increase your chances of winning when betting on UFC fights.
Islam Makhachev vs Alexander Volkanovski Rematch Prediction
In this highly anticipated UFC showdown, we’ve got Islam Makhachev facing off against Alexander Volkanovski for the second time. Let’s dive into the UFC stats and break down their strengths and weaknesses based on the stats.
Islam boasts an impressive record of 24 wins and only 1 loss. That’s some serious dominance. Volkanovski, on the other hand, stands at 26 wins with 2 losses. Both fighters have the “W” mentality, but Makhachev has a slightly better win-loss ratio.
Makhachev’s typical fight duration spans 10 minutes and 15 seconds, signifying his familiarity with reaching the final bell. Conversely, Volkanovski boasts an average fight time of 17 minutes and 14 seconds, implying his ease with enduring protracted battles.
When it comes to striking, Makhachev has a decent 2.35 strikes landed per minute with a striking accuracy of 59%. Volkanovski, however, is more aggressive, landing a significant 6.25 strikes per minute, albeit with a slightly lower accuracy of 56%. Makhachev’s defense is also slightly better, at 61% compared to Volkanovski’s 58%. Volkanovski’s striking could be the key to victory, but Makhachev’s defensive prowess can’t be ignored.
On the grappling front, Makhachev shows his dominance with 3.24 takedowns on average per 15 minutes and an impressive 62% takedown accuracy. He’s also got solid takedown defense at 90%. Volkanovski lags behind with 1.86 takedowns per 15 minutes and a takedown accuracy of 37%. This might be where Makhachev can exploit Volkanovski’s weaknesses.
Makhachev holds a considerable edge with an average of 1.1 submissions per 15 minutes, a contrast to Volkanovski’s 0.2. If the battle ventures to the ground, Makhachev could emerge as the prime contender for securing a submission.
In their most recent fights, both fighters have seen success. Makhachev secured a win against Volkanovski, and Volkanovski also claimed victory against Rodriguez. These victories give both fighters momentum and confidence going into this battle.
This rematch should play out like a compelling story. Makhachev seems to have an edge in terms of grappling and defensive striking, while Volkanovski has the upper hand when it comes to offensive striking and perhaps endurance.
Makhachev, on the other hand, remains steadfast and prepared, intending to employ the same tactics that carried him to a decision victory in their initial encounter. He’ll rely on his grappling skills to control Volkanovski and impede the Australian fighter’s tempo.
Anticipating a more relaxed Volkanovski, could bring both potential benefits and drawbacks, as he might be more inclined to take risks and seek an early statement against Makhachev. It’s a huge moment for both fighters to secure their legacies even further, I think if Islam is willing to take more risks this fight might not go the distance and fall into the hands of the challenger here Volkanovski.
Betting Pick: Volkanovski