Vicente Luque vs Ian Garry Props & Odds for UFC 296

• UFC 296 odds have Ian Gary as a -375 betting favorite against Vicente Luque as a +280 underdog.
• How will Luque fight differently that could take his former teammate by surprise?
• We cover the best props including Garry or Luque by KO, submission and decision.

At UFC 296, Vicente Luque and Ian Garry are set to clash, with Garry, known as “The Future,” aiming to move a step closer to the top five in the welterweight division. Anticipation for UFC 296 is high with numerous betting opportunities for those looking to place wagers on either Luque or Garry to emerge victorious.

In the main event, Colby Covington seeks to claim the UFC Welterweight Title in a highly anticipated matchup against Leon Edwards at UFC 296 on December 16, 2023, at the T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas. See odds & picks for Edwards vs Covington.

Luque vs Garry Props & Odds

In the latest UFC 296 betting lines, Ian Garry is positioned as the favored contender with odds at -375, facing off against Vicente Luque, the underdog with a +280 listing. For those seeking more enticing wagering opportunities on the Luque vs. Garry matchup, explore the following prop bets.

Looking for the best UFC betting apps we have you covered for UFC 296. Now let’s see what are the most likely outcomes from the various prop bets available for Garry vs Luque.

Over/Under 1½ Rounds

• Implied Probability: Over (57.14%), Under (39.22%)
• Likely Outcome: Over 1½ rounds, given both fighters’ resilience. Garry has never been finished, and Luque has shown durability.

TKO/KO or Submission:

• Implied Probability: Garry by TKO (38.46%), Luque by Submission (9.09%)
• Likely Outcome: Garry winning by TKO/KO is more probable, considering his striking prowess. Luque’s submission odds are lower but still possible.

Fight Outcome – Decision or Not:

• Implied Probability: Fight goes to decision (50%), Fight doesn’t go to decision (61.54%)
• Likely Outcome: The odds favor the fight not going to decision, with both fighters having a history of finishing fights.

Round Betting:

• Implied Probability: Fight ending in Round 1 (31.25%), Round 2 (21.28%), Round 3 (14.81%)
• Likely Outcome: Round 2 has the lowest implied probability, making it the least likely round for the fight to end.

Fighter Winning in Specific Rounds:

• Implied Probability: Garry winning in Round 1 (74.07%), Luque winning in Round 1 (8.70%)
• Likely Outcome: Garry winning in Round 1 is highly probable based on the odds.

Method of Victory in Specific Rounds:

• Implied Probability: Garry winning by TKO/KO in Round 1 (25%), Luque winning by TKO/KO in Round 1 (5.26%)
• Likely Outcome: Garry’s victory by TKO/KO in Round 1 is the more probable outcome.

Vicente Luque vs Ian Garry Betting Prediction

Luque showcases an impressive record with 22 victories, 9 defeats, and 1 draw, while Garry stands undefeated with a perfect 12-win streak. The experience factor plays into Luque’s hands, yet Garry’s unblemished record introduces an element of unpredictability.

Luque’s recent triumphs against formidable adversaries like Dos Anjos and Magny underscore his added experience over Garry. While Garry, hasn’t looked unstoppable his ability to fight at championship level is clearly there.

After securing a decision victory against Neil Magny, he achieved two consecutive finishes in his previous bouts against Song Kenan and Daniel Rodriguez.

Garry deftly lands significant strikes at a remarkable rate of 6.67 per minute, which he will need to push the pace in this three-round fight. Luque’s striking accuracy of 52% injects an element of precision. Defensive capabilities matter too with both fighters showing solid striking defense.

While Luque’s takedown average leans slightly higher, Garry boasts an impressive 75% takedown accuracy. Can Luque’s wealth of experience aid him in thwarting Garry’s takedown attempts, or will Garry assert dominance in the grappling facet? Luque, with a submission average of 0.7, might hold an edge if the tussle hits the canvas.

In this collision of diverse styles, Garry’s precision striking faces off against Luque’s well-rounded arsenal, resulting in a fasanating matchup. Should Garry maintain his striking tempo and elude Luque’s submission maneuvers, he could secure a triumph.

Conversely, Luque’s wealth of experience and ability to weather storms might pave the way for a strategically earned victory, potentially on the mat.

In summary, the odds favor a competitive fight with a potential for an early finish. Garry winning by TKO/KO in the early rounds seems to be the most likely outcome, while a decision or fight going to the later rounds appears less probable based on the implied probabilities.

Betting Pick: Garry by Decision.