- Brandon Moreno opens as a -200 betting favorite against Alexandre Pantoja at UFC 290.
- Can Alexandre Pantoja upset the odds at UFC 290 and get a third win over the champ?
- UFC 290 goes down on July 8, 2023, at the T-Mobile Arena in Paradise, Las Vegas.
Brandon Moreno, the reigning flyweight champion, is set to defend his title against the highly skilled Alexandre Pantoja. This title fight will be a rematch and is set to feature as the co-main to Alexander Volkanovski vs Yair Rodriguez. Let’s find out the best bets and props for UFC 290 for Moreno vs Pantoja 2.
Moreno vs Pantoja 2 Odds
| Fighter | Odds |
| Brandon Moreno | -200 |
| Alexandre Pantoja | +170 |
The latest UFC 290 odds are in favor of Brandon Moreno -200 to defeat Alexandre Pantoja +170. That’s an implied win probability of 66% for the “Baby Assasin” with $100 profit gained off a $200 wager. On the flip side, Pantoja has a 37% chance as the underdog, bet $100 to net $170 profit.
Pantoja already holds a victory over Moreno, from a UFC Fight Night in Chile in 2018. Outside of Moreno’s last loss to Figueiredo, Pantoja was the second most recent loss for Moreno.
This will be the first time Moreno has defended his flyweight title against someone other than Deiveson Figueiredo. For Alexandre Pantoja, the wait is over after waiting since 2017 for a title shot at 135 pounds.
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Moreno vs Pantoja Betting Props
Looking at the odds, Moreno enters the fight as the favorite, with odds ranging from -200 to -205 across various sportsbooks. Pantoja, on the other hand, is the underdog with odds ranging from +154 to +170. So, if you’re leaning towards an upset victory, Pantoja might be your pick. The odds of this fight going or not going to a decision are still TBD at the time of writing this.
If you’re a fan of submissions, both Pantoja and Moreno offer intriguing possibilities. The odds for either fighter winning by submission in any specific round are -118, indicating that a submission finish is considered less likely but still plausible.
To sum it up, according to the odds, Moreno is favored to win, but Pantoja has the potential to surprise everyone. The most likely outcome is a decision victory, while the least likely outcomes are the fight ending in a draw or a specific fighter winning in a particular round. Remember, these odds are subject to change, so it’s crucial to stay updated before placing your bets.
Brandon Moreno vs Alexandre Pantoja Prediction
In this detailed UFC 290 betting preview for Moreno vs Pantoja 2, I’ll analyze their stats, strengths, weaknesses, and potential strategies, providing you with insights to make an informed betting prediction.
Brandon Moreno (21-6-2), has showcased his resilience and determination inside the cage. His average fight time of 14 minutes and 53 seconds demonstrates his ability to endure and perform consistently. Moreno possesses a slight height advantage over Pantoja. He utilizes an orthodox stance and displays well-rounded skills in both striking and grappling.
Alexandre Pantoja (25-5-0), is a formidable challenger for Moreno. He has proven to be a quick finisher, which means the first two rounds will be vital for both fighters. Like Moreno, he adopts an orthodox stance and excels in striking and grappling.
In terms of significant strikes, Pantoja has the edge, landing an impressive 4.25 strikes per minute (SLpM) with a 48% striking accuracy. He absorbs slightly fewer strikes than Moreno, with 3.38 strikes absorbed per minute (SApM), indicating solid defensive skills.
Meanwhile, Moreno lands 3.55 strikes per minute with a 40% accuracy, absorbing 3.19 strikes per minute. Pantoja’s precision striking could pose a challenge for Moreno, but the champion’s durability and defense give him an advantage in absorbing strikes.
If this fight goes to the ground chance is Moreno will dictate this – he has a higher takedown average, securing 1.80 takedowns per 15 minutes compared to Pantoja’s 1.37. However, Pantoja boasts a superior takedown accuracy of 40%, while Moreno sits at 45%.
Both fighters exhibit solid takedown defense, with a shared 67% success rate. Pantoja’s submission average of 1.2 per 15 minutes showcases his ability to finish fights on the ground. Moreno, on the other hand, maintains a submission average of 0.6. Pantoja’s submission skills might be a key factor if the fight heads to the mat.
Moreno’s strengths lie in his resilience and well-rounded skill set. He possesses a durable chin, showcased in his previous encounters with Deiveson Figueiredo, who won a decision against Pantoja back in 2019.
Moreno’s striking, although not as precise as Pantoja’s, is still formidable, and his ability to absorb strikes enables him to weather storms and press forward. Additionally, his grappling skills and solid takedown average make him a well-rounded threat.
Pantoja’s strengths lie in his precision striking and submission abilities. His striking accuracy and higher output could allow him to accumulate points throughout the fight. Furthermore, Pantoja’s submission average highlights his potential to capitalize on grappling exchanges and secure a finish.
I expect Moreno’s durability and resilience to remain in tack for this UFC 290 co-main title bout, coupled with his well-rounded skill set, should give him an edge over Pantoja. While Pantoja’s precision striking and submission skills are commendable, Moreno’s ability to absorb strikes and maintain a high work rate will likely neutralize Pantoja’s offensive arsenal.
Moreno must utilize his takedown advantage to dictate the fight’s pace and potentially neutralize Pantoja’s danger on the feel. Moreno should also be cautious of Pantoja’s submission threats and aim to control the fight on the ground or in the clinch.
Ultimately, I predict that Brandon Moreno will retain his title with a hard-fought decision victory, showcasing his durability, versatility, and championship mindset.
Another blockbuster fight at UFC 290, is Robert Whittaker vs Dricus Du Plessis. See our Whittaker vs Du Plessis Odds & Prediction.
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