- The betting line for McGregor vs Poirier 3 is still close with it being even money.
- McGregor by TKO/KO is +110, Poirier by TKO/KO is +210.
- Poirier to win the trilogy by submission is +900.
- Take advantage of the latest McGregor vs Poirier betting props reviewed below.
UFC 264 will welcome live crowds back to a full arena in Las Vegas, Nevada. On July 10th UFC 264 will host the trilogy fight between Conor McGregor and Dustin Poirier.
McGregor vs Poirier 3 Prop Bets
|McGregor wins by TKO/KO||+110|
|Poirier wins by TKO/KO||+210|
|Fight is a draw||+3300|
|McGregor wins by submission||+2500|
|Poirier wins by submission||+900|
|McGregor wins by decision||+750|
|Poirier wins by decision||+550|
|McGregor wins in round 1||+275|
|Poirier wins in round 1||+700|
|McGregor wins in round 2||+600|
|Poirier wins in round 2||+800|
|McGregor wins in round 3||+1400|
|Poirier wins in round 3||+900|
|McGregor wins in round 4||+2200|
|Poirier wins in round 4||+1200|
|McGregor wins in round 5||+3000|
|Poirier wins in round 5||+2000|
The two most likely outcomes of this third fight are Poirier or McGregor winning by TKO/KO. McGregor’s odds of finishing Poirier are +110, which would give the Irishman an implied probability of 47.62%. (Bet $100, win $110.)
“The Diamond” only defeated McGregor by TKO in January at UFC 257. His odds of repeating the same recipe of success are listed at +210, which is an implied win probability of 32.26%. (Bet $110, win $220).
We typically don’t see a Conor McGregor fight go to a decision. At +750 for McGregor to win by decision against Poirier, you can bet $100 to win $750. For Poirier his odds are shorter at +550, bet $100 to win $550 for “The Diamond” picking up a decision win over McGregor.
Round Betting at UFC 264
When it comes to round betting for the Poirier vs McGregor trilogy, the oddsmakers are favoring this fight for McGregor to finish Poirier within the first round, at +275 you can bet $100 to win $275.
“The Notorious” one’s latest fight prediction for UFC 264 is him winning in the fourth round. The odds for that are a whopping +2200, bet $100 to win $2200. Meanwhile, Poirier is priced at +800 to win in the second round again, bet $100 to win $800.
Unique Betting Angles
Dustin Poirier has won 26% of his fights by submission. We know he was the first fighter to finish McGregor on the feet, but prior to that losing by submission was McGregor’s kryptonite.
The odds of Poirier winning the trilogy by submission are listed at +900, a value bet worth considering that would payout $900 for a $100 wager.
Betting on the fight-ending as a draw is listed at +3000, the implied probability of that happening is 3.23%, slim chances we will see a fourth fight eh?
Expect a whole host of fun betting props to be released come fight week, from McGregor winning inside 60 seconds and much more!
UFC 264 Sold Out “in seconds”
McGregor vs Poirier 3 will take place in front of a sold out crowd in Las Vegas. The last time McGregor fought in Vegas was against Donald Cerrone at UFC 246, not long before the pandemic.
Tickets for UFC 264 went on sale Friday, April 16th, and were sold out in seconds according to Dana White.
Who’s your money on for the trilogy McGregor or Poirier? Comment below!