- Terence “Bud” Crawford is currently a -146 favorite in the latest odds to Errol Spence Jr as a +116 underdog.
- The undisputed welterweight championship will be on the line for an event targeted for July in Las Vegas.
- We review the betting odds and prop bets Crawford and Spence to see where the early value is.
Finally, a mega-fight that’s worthy of the name. Errol Spence will take on Terence Crawford for the undisputed Welterweight championship, a fight real fight fans will be ecstatic to hear it’s been confirmed for July 29th from T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas and on SHOWTIME PPV.
As online sportsbooks roll out the opening odds for Crawford vs Spence, we couldn’t help but notice the tight margin on this betting line. Let’s see where the early betting value is on this welterweight clash.
Spence vs Crawford Odds
|Errol Spence Jr||+116|
According to the latest Crawford vs Spence betting line; Terence Crawford’s odds are -146 to defeat Errol Spence Jr. That gives Crawford a 59.3% implied win probability against Spence Jr.
Errol Spence Jr is the slight underdog, which means if you bet $100 you could win $116 with these latest odds. These odds have actually flipped from what they were one year ago.
Check out these boxing betting sites for a recommended list of sportsbooks for wagering on Spence vs Crawford.
Spence vs Crawford Betting Props
Based on the latest sportsbook odds for Spence vs Crawford, here are some of the most highly probable outcomes for the Spence vs Crawford fight:
- Fight goes to decision: The odds indicate a high likelihood of the fight going the distance, with implied probabilities ranging from -163 to -205.
- Errol Spence Jr wins by decision: The odds suggest that Spence has a good chance of winning via decision, with implied probabilities ranging from +175 to +240.
- Terrence Crawford wins by decision: Similarly, the odds indicate that Crawford has a favorable chance of winning by decision, with implied probabilities ranging from +190 to +230.
- Over 10½ rounds: The odds favor the fight lasting over 10½ rounds, with an implied probability of -225.
- Under 10½ rounds: Conversely, the odds suggest a lower likelihood of the fight ending before 10½ rounds, with an implied probability of +163.
Spence vs Crawford Prediction
Spence, who holds the WBC, WBA, and IBF titles, and Crawford, who holds the WBA title, will be tackled as a dual promotion by Spence’s Man Down Promotion and Crawford’s TBC Promotion on the PBC PPV. A notable attorney Jeffrey Spitz is representing the Haymon/Spence side as the contracts are being reviewed.
Technically this is a 50/50 fight. You got two undefeated boxers, who are both coming off impressive wins respectively. Spence more recently with a 10th-round TKO stoppage over Ugas in April. Crawford is coming off a 6th-round TKO win in December 2022 over David Avanesyan to retain his WBC title.
Crawford will be 35 by the time this fight takes place in, with Spence being the younger of the two by 3 years. It’s really now or never for both fighters, who are arguably just leaving their primes but are still top pound-for-pound fighters.
Depending on which sports betting app you use, the oddsmakers are giving a slight edge to Crawford or Spence.
Spence’s last four opponents were Ugas, Mikey Garcia, Shawn Porter, and Danny Garcia. This tells us he can hang in there with the who’s who of boxing and play a physical game of chess down to a tee.
In terms of being the more versatile boxer, I see Crawford having more tools at his disposal to cause Spence problems. Crawford is the kind of fighter that takes his time to figure out his opponents. Then uses whatever chinks in their armor he sees against them.
That being said, Crawford’s most recent opponents were Porter, Amir Khan, Egidijus Kavaliauskas, and Kell Brook. All fantastic boxers, but each boxer had its disadvantages against “Bud” to be fair. Crawford still has what it takes even at 35, but the clock is running out for him to cement his name among the great welterweights.
The initial fight agreement includes a stipulation that the loser has the right to exercise a rematch. In this bilateral rematch, the winner will earn the majority of the revenue. Fight fans can look forward to not one Mega Fight, but two and possibly a trilogy if get there!
Spence Knows He’s a Danger Against Crawford
“It definitely makes you more dangerous because it gives you motivation. It definitely makes you a more dangerous fighter,” said Spence to Fight Hub TV about wanting to beat Crawford for his family.
“He can move; he’s agile and can counter-punch. He can fight, and he can box,” said Spence to ESNEWS when asked what Crawford’s best attributes are.
Crawford’s remarkable agility poses the potential to transform their bout into a tedious deadlock, leaving Spence struggling to connect with significant shots, while Terenc finds himself in a similar predicament.
This strategic approach by Crawford would lean towards survival, implying that he might lack the mental and physical prowess to overpower the younger, stronger, and larger Spence. Rather than pursuing a resounding victory, Crawford would opt for a calculated hit-and-run strategy, aiming to secure a hard-fought contest with elusive maneuvers.
Crawford No Longer Held Back by Promotions
Crawford departed from Top Rank, leaving the shadow of promoter Bob Arum last year. Less than a year later, we obtain news that the mega-fight boxing fans are steaming at the mouth about is finally taking place. While this is merely a verbal agreement, it looks like the real thing.
For far too long, it was a subject of debate as to why the fight didn’t take place. Arum blamed the promoter (Premier Boxing Champions) Al Haymon on not allowing the fight to happen, and Crawford blamed Spence for not wanting to fight him. But some boxing analysts felt Arum was holding up what could be the biggest boxing money match for years.
The real winners here are the boxing fans. Who are often dangled the best vs the best with it rarely happening in time, unlike other combat sports promotions like the UFC who don’t have to worry about sanctioning bodies and politics.
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How does this play out Spence and Crawford? Leave your comments below.